Match Info

KHL

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Barys Arena (Astana)


	Barys Astana		Avangard Omsk

	1	X	2
	3.18	3.85	2.01
	3.1	3.75	1.97
	3.28	4.41	2	Watch
	3.05	4.1	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	4.03 ↓ (4.41)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
29.6%

Draw
23.2%

Avangard Omsk
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

22%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

21.3%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Barys Astana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Avangard Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Avangard will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Avangard may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Avangard is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barys has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:71 (averaging 2.4:3.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barys against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 25:25 goals (averaging 2.8:2.8 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Avangard Omsk: 7.33% Barys Astana: 0.77%

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 29.55%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
04.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana	3:4 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	4:5 OT ✺
30.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Barys Astana - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLLL
- Avangard Omsk
KHL
08.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Avangard Omsk	0:1 ✺
06.10.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	4:0 ✺
02.10.26	Avangard Omsk - Lada Togliatti	4:1 ✺
28.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:5 ✺
24.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
30.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	2:4
23.11.25	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	2:5
29.10.25	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	4:3
16.10.25	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	6:2
31.01.25	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	5:1
24.11.24	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	2:3 OT
10.10.24	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	1:0

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