Match Info

KHL

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: UMMC Arena (Yekaterinburg)


	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.69	5.4	Watch
	1.55	4.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	4.72 ↓ (5.12)	5.08 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
61%

Draw
20.2%

Barys Astana
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

19%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

17.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Barys Astana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barys will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
18. Alikin Y. (G)	1. Boyarkin N. (G)
9. Blacker J.	44. Walsh R.
44. Yudin D.	2. Massie J. (A)
16. Boucher R.	88. Vecchione M.
77. Da Costa S.	11. Morelli M.
15. Golyshev A.	10. Willman M.
Line 2
21. Osipov M.	71. Daniyar Sam.
88. Tryamkin N. (C)	3. McCoshen I.
17. Macek B.	12. Logvin V.
86. Sharov A.	9. Thompson T.
11. Sprong D.	70. Simonov S.
Line 3
55. Vorobyov K. (A)	24. Breus D.
7. Busygin Y.	87. Beketayev A. (A)
97. Kizimov S.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
28. Byvaltsev A. (A)	17. Omirbekov A.
92. Gorbunov R.	23. Mukhametov M.
Line 4
62. Shchuchinov A.	58. Gaitamirov T.
24. Denezhkin M.	22. Panyukov K.
81. Romantsev D.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
99. Shashkov N.	96. Asetov A. (C)
Substitutes
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	41. Scheel A. (G)
Coaches
. Zavarukhin N.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
12:20, Tryamkin N. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:01, 1 - 0, Da Costa S. (G), Golyshev A. (A), Boucher R. (A2)
16:46, 1 - 1, Thompson T. (G), Massie J. (A), Vecchione M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
14:23, Kizimov S. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:30, 2 - 1, Busygin Y. (G), Da Costa S. (A), Gorbunov R. (A2)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 3.

Avtomobilist has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barys is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avtomobilist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Avtomobilist is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:47. (average 2.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Avtomobilist won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2.8:2.8).

Outrights of KHL for now

Yekaterinburg: 6.65% Barys Astana: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 5.17 are the expected chance of winning is 18.78%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
08.01.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:0 ✺
30.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	4:3 ✺
25.12.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Barys Astana
KHL
10.01.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Barys Astana	3:1 ✺
08.01.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	3:1 ✺
06.01.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Barys Astana	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	2:4 ✺
27.12.25	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
25.12.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4
16.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	1:4
07.11.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT
07.01.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:3 penalties
07.11.24	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3
07.10.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	4:3
17.09.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	1:2 OT

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