Match Info

VHL

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Tambov

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.5	2.99
	1.93	4.15	3.24	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	3.09 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
44.8%

Draw
24.9%

Tambov
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

23.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Bars Kazan - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	1. Skotnikov V. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	72. Vasin I. (A)
75. Ivanov A.	24. Mamkin M.
17. Gizatullin D.	86. Kopyltsov S.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	7. Kamenev V.
41. Klimkin I.	51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)
Line 2
22. Bardin I.	54. Shchuchinov A.
60. Lisov N.	26. Yershov I.
10. Galeyev I.	49. Smirnov Y.
98. Saberzyanov M.	96. Pyanov E.
61. Khasanov I.	30. Sadovin O.
Line 3
53. Makhmutov A.	95. Pesterev V.
26. Taimazov A.	62. Lugovyak S.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	92. Korinevsky M. (A)
28. Golubev D. (C)	71. Koltygin P.
93. Barsukov I.	63. Valitsky I.
Line 4
5. Mubaraksins A.	29. Protasov I.
71. Samigullin R.	28. Bulychyov G.
64. Gazizov R.	37. Baranov Y.
23. Zinovyev D.	87. Gorbunov Y.
32. Vasilkov A.	27. Andriyanov A.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
05:54, 1 - 0, Alshevsky S. (G), Klimkin I. (A),
13:13, 2 - 0, Samigullin R. (G), Gazizov R. (A),
16:12, 3 - 0, Klimkin I. (G), Alshevsky S. (A), Gizatullin D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:17, 3 - 1, Koltygin P. (G), Korinevsky M. (A), Yershov I. (A2)
12:18, 3 - 2, Valitsky I. (G), Koltygin P. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 3.

Recent performances by Bars have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tambov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bars has had a series of away games.

Bars will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Bars will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bars won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:30. (average 2.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 2.4:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.81%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Tambov - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
30.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
26.11.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Bars Kazan	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
17.11.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW
- HC Tambov
VHL
02.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Tambov	5:2 ✺
30.11.25	Chelny - Tambov	1:3 ✺
28.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Tambov	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Tambov - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
20.11.25	Tambov - Ryazan	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.02.25	Bars Kazan - Tambov	3:2
11.10.24	Tambov - Bars Kazan	1:4
08.02.24	Tambov - Bars Kazan	0:1
12.09.23	Bars Kazan - Tambov	3:4 penalties
25.12.22	Tambov - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties
27.10.22	Bars Kazan - Tambov	3:2
12.01.22	Bars Kazan - Tambov	2:1 penalties

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