Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Barys Astana		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.90	2.30
	2.5	4.34	2.5	Watch
	2.37	4.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	4.11 ↓ (4.34)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
38.7%

Draw
22.5%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

21.8%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 2.

Barys has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Avtomobilist is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Avtomobilist could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Avtomobilist has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barys has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:54 (averaging 2.3:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barys against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 22:30 goals (averaging 2:2.7 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
12.10.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	5:1 ✺
04.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana	3:4 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	4:5 OT ✺
30.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWWL
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
06.10.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	4:0 ✺
04.10.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Amur Khabarovsk	0:3 ✺
02.10.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Amur Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
30.09.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
12.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	2:1 OT
25.12.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4
16.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	1:4
07.11.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT
07.01.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:3 penalties
07.11.24	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3
07.10.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	4:3

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