The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 52.2%
Draw 23%
Barys Astana 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
21%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
19.5%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Spartak will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
50. Zagidulin A. (G)
43. Shutov A. (G)
94. Mironov A. (C)
2. Massie J. (A)
44. Reilly W.
26. Day L.
24. Poryadin P. (A)
8. Bailey J.
13. Maltsev M.
12. Logvin V.
10. Comtois M.
14. Pilon G.
Line 2
62. Orlov D.
3. McCoshen I.
33. Sobolev D.
71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
99. Filin Y.
9. Thompson T.
95. Rubtsov G. (A)
11. Morelli M.
78. Gutik D.
70. Simonov S.
Line 3
49. Dronov N.
4. Priskie C.
4. Keane J.
7. Britikov D.
88. Galchenyuk A.
17. Omirbekov A.
20. Lockhart L.
29. Lyapunov K.
16. Pivchulin D.
64. Shestakov A.
Line 4
55. Vishnevsky D.
87. Beketayev A.
76. Lukyantsev S.
10. Alibek A.
38. Kotlyarov I.
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
6. Ryabov I.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
Substitutes
28. Fedotov I. (G)
96. Asetov A.
97. Kholodilin N.
32. Shepard H. (G)
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.
. Kravets M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
12:43, Thompson T. (2 min),
15:22, Savitsky K. (2 min),
16:33, Gutik D. (2 min),
17:55, Ryabov I. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:59, Bailey J. (2 min),
07:11, Shestakov A. (2 min),
07:30, 1 - 0, Gutik D. (G), Kotlyarov I. (A), Orlov D. (A2)
10:16, 1 - 1, Day L. (G), Omirbekov A. (A), Shestakov A. (A2)
14:18, 1 - 2, Asetov A. (G), Day L. (A), Shaikhmeddenov A. (A2)
15:33, Galchenyuk A. (2 min),
16:51, 2 - 2, Pivchulin D. (G),
19:33, Priskie C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:18, 3 - 2, Lockhart L. (G), Lukyantsev S. (A),
18:22, 3 - 3, Thompson T. (G), Day L. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Bailey J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Galchenyuk A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Savitsky K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Lockhart L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lyapunov K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Comtois M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Comtois M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Pilon G. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 9th and 5th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 4.
Spartak is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Barys have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Barys may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Spartak has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Bookmakers give the edge to Spartak for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Spartak has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:53 (averaging 3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:30 goals (averaging 3.4:3 per game).