Match Info

KHL

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Neftekhimik Arena (Nizhnekamsk)


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.72	3.00
	2.10	3.65	2.95
	1.93	4.23	3.42	Watch
	2.02	4.00	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)	3.9 ↓ (4.39)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
45.7%

Draw
24%

Barys Astana
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

22.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

21.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Neftekhimik will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Ozolin Y. (G)	32. Shepard H. (G)
81. Yeryomenko V.	2. Massie J. (A)
24. Serikov A.	71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
88. Zhafyarov D.	8. Bailey J.
71. Belozyorov A. (C)	12. Logvin V.
11. Nikolishin I.	14. Pilon G.
Line 2
65. Fedotov M.	3. McCoshen I.
57. Ruchkin S.	26. Day L.
97. Tyanulin A.	9. Thompson T.
52. Mityakin Y. (A)	11. Morelli M.
10. Bikmullin R.	70. Simonov S.
Line 3
22. Kol T.	4. Priskie C.
7. Khlystov N. (A)	7. Britikov D.
84. Artemyev S.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
33. Tochilkin G.	17. Omirbekov A.
23. Petunin A.	64. Shestakov A.
Line 4
27. Lovell T.	19. Orazov B.
87. Sokolov S.	10. Alibek A.
44. Andreichenko V.	22. Panyukov K.
17. Nadvorny M.	84. Savitsky K. (C)
Substitutes
53. Dolganov F. (G)	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
	43. Shutov A. (G)
Coaches
. Grishin I.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:37, 0 - 1, Bailey J. (G), Day L. (A), McCoshen I. (A2)
07:48, Yeryomenko V. (2 min),
09:46, Khlystov N. (2 min),
16:35, 1 - 1, Nadvorny M. (G), Kol T. (A), Artemyev S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:34, 2 - 1, Belozyorov A. (G), Zhafyarov D. (A),
07:08, 2 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Simonov S. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
09:01, Massie J. (2 min),
09:27, Pilon G. (2 min),
10:48, (2 min),
18:10, Priskie C. (2 min),
19:40, Shestakov A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
03:29, Massie J. (2 min),
04:18, 3 - 2, Fedotov M. (G), Petunin A. (A), Tochilkin G. (A2)
07:32, 4 - 2, Tyanulin A. (G), Bikmullin R. (A), Mityakin Y. (A2)
08:45, Andreichenko V. (2 min),
09:37, 4 - 3, Omirbekov A. (G), Priskie C. (A), Bailey J. (A2)
19:48, 4 - 4, Pilon G. (G), Day L. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:32, 4 - 5, Simonov S. (G), Logvin V. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 5.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Neftekhimik has faced a series of away games on the road.

Neftekhimik is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Neftekhimik in today's match, at odds of 2.04.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Neftekhimik has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:51 (averaging 2.7:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neftekhimik against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 24:20 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Niznekamsk: 1.24% Barys Astana: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 29.66%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
KHL
29.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
23.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lada Togliatti	7:3 ✺
20.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWL
- Barys Astana
KHL
30.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Barys Astana - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
22.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
26.09.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6
24.01.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	3:2
15.01.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
03.11.25	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5
27.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	3:2
13.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	1:2 OT
11.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	4:1

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