Match Info

KHL

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: UMMC Arena (Yekaterinburg)


	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.64	5.64
	1.46	4.6	5.59
	1.53	5	5.64	Watch
	1.49	4.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)	4.71 ↓ (5.07)	5.47 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
63%

Draw
19.9%

Lada Togliatti
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

19.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

19.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lada will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
18. Alikin Y. (G)	1. Mishurov A. (G)
7. Busygin Y.	12. Millman M.
55. Vorobyov K.	75. Groleau J.
21. Ruzicka A.	66. Mikhailov N.
78. Kadeykin A. (A)	13. Sawchuk R. (A)
72. Slepyshev A. (C)	18. Kugryshev D. (C)
Line 2
79. Gross J.	64. Belousov M.
10. Clague K.	27. Somerby D.
11. Sprong D.	88. Setdikov N. (A)
86. Sharov A.	14. King Ben
17. Barabanov A.	10. Chivilyov A.
Line 3
9. Blacker J.	89. Karpov A.
88. Tryamkin N. (A)	99. Makarov N.
77. Tarasov M.	9. Umerov R.
76. Kashtanov A.	63. Groshev Y.
24. Denezhkin M.	23. Chervonenko V.
Line 4
44. Yudin D.	44. Lukin A.
15. Golyshev A.	28. Taimazov A.
19. Chernikov Y.	93. Rozhkov N. A.
92. Gorbunov R.	19. Zinchenko I.
	71. Shakirov R.
Substitutes
1. Galkin V. (G)	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
63. Isayev D.
Coaches
. Kudashov A.	. Zubov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:46, 1 - 0, Blacker J. (G),
05:42, Belousov M. (2 min),
11:57, 2 - 0, Tarasov M. (G), Denezhkin M. (A), Kashtanov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:10, Tryamkin N. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:58, 2 - 1, Kugryshev D. (G), Groshev Y. (A), Sawchuk R. (A2)
18:04, 3 - 1, Busygin Y. (G), Sharov A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals) and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 3.

Avtomobilist is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lada has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lada may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avtomobilist has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Avtomobilist is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Avtomobilist has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:44 (averaging 3.2:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avtomobilist against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 33:28 goals (averaging 3.7:3.1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Lada Togliatti - the odds 5.02 are the expected chance of winning is 19.28%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
26.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4 ✺
24.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:2 ✺
22.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:3 ✺
15.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
28.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lada Togliatti	5:4 ✺
25.09.26	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	0:5 ✺
23.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lada Togliatti	7:3 ✺
21.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	3:2 AET ✺
16.09.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
30.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	4:3
08.09.25	Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:3
02.02.25	Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4
24.01.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	5:3
30.12.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	2:3 penalties
22.09.24	Lada Togliatti - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:1
13.01.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT

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