Match Info

KHL

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Barys Arena (Astana)


	Barys Astana		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	2	4.15	3.32
	2.1	3.91	3.16	Watch
	2.05	3.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	3.97 ↓ (4)	3.19 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
46.3%

Draw
23.9%

Lada Togliatti
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

23%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

23%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: Barys Astana will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barys Astana will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Boyarkin N. (G)	60. Bocharov I. (G)
71. Daniyar Sam.	22. Williams C.
2. Massie J. (A)	42. Syomin V. (C)
88. Vecchione M.	84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)
11. Morelli M.	13. Sawchuk R.
84. Savitsky K. (C)	76. Tyanulin A. (A)
Line 2
44. Walsh R.	8. Zemchyonok A.
3. McCoshen I.	44. Lukin A.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.	10. Chivilyov A.
9. Thompson T.	58. Obidin A.
10. Willman M.	18. Kugryshev D.
Line 3
19. Orazov B.	27. Cotton A.
87. Beketayev A. (A)	29. Bokun D.
29. Lyapunov K.	88. Setdikov N.
17. Omirbekov A.	21. Savchik I.
70. Simonov S.	66. Mikhailov N.
Line 4
24. Breus D.	64. Belousov M.
22. Panyukov K.	32. Taimazov A.
12. Logvin V.	98. Jurco T.
96. Asetov A.	94. Graovac T.
	25. Romanov I.
Substitutes
43. Shutov A. (G)	1. Trushkov A. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
01:23, 0 - 1, Chivilyov A. (G),
03:14, Syomin V. (2 min),
05:39, 1 - 1, McCoshen I. (G), Asetov A. (A), Panyukov K. (A2)
08:04, Panyukov K. (2 min),
10:01, Kugryshev D. (2 min),
12:48, 2 - 1, Panyukov K. (G),
13:07, Taimazov A. (2 min),
14:35, 3 - 1, Simonov S. (G), Omirbekov A. (A), Kaiyrzhan D. (A2)
17:21, Cotton A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:40, Chivilyov A. (2 min),
07:48, Belousov M. (2 min),
13:05, Massie J. (2 min),
13:05, Chivilyov A. (2 min),
14:17, 3 - 2, Lukin A. (G),
15:11, Lukin A. (2 min),
18:55, (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:37, 4 - 2, Walsh R. (G), Kaiyrzhan D. (A),
08:05, McCoshen I. (2 min),
08:32, 5 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Willman M. (A), Boyarkin N. (A2)
09:51, 5 - 3, Graovac T. (G), Chivilyov A. (A), Cotton A. (A2)
11:57, Breus D. (2 min),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Lada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 33:56. (average 1.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 1.7:3.5).

Outrights of KHL for now

Barys Astana: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Lada Togliatti - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.23%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
12.02.26	Barys Astana - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:5 ✺
04.02.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Barys Astana	1:4 ✺
02.02.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Barys Astana	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Barys Astana	2:1 penalties ✺
28.01.26	Barys Astana - Admiral Vladivostok	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
12.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	3:2 OT ✺
10.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Dinamo Minsk	3:8 ✺
03.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
20.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	2:0
28.02.25	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	2:3 penalties
15.02.25	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	2:4
09.01.25	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	1:0
05.01.25	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	0:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.24	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT
KHL
24.02.24	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	1:4

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