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Current Win Probability
Admiral Vladivostok 41.5%
Draw 24.1%
Barys Astana 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
22.7%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
23.3%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Admiral Vladivostok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admiral Vladivostok than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
23.1%
0%
Admiral Vladivostok - Barys Astana Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Admiral will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Admiral: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Admiral Vladivostok will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Kulbakov I. (G)
41. Scheel A. (G)
28. Ibragimov S.
71. Daniyar Sam.
73. Sulak L. (A)
2. Massie J. (A)
25. Olson K.
88. Vecchione M.
74. Osnovin V.
11. Morelli M.
17. Zavgorodny D.
70. Simonov S.
Line 2
94. Yefremov N.
44. Walsh R.
62. Solyannikov G.
3. McCoshen I.
26. Bryukvin V.
10. Willman M.
64. Shestakov A. (A)
9. Thompson T.
90. Soshnikov N.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
Line 3
19. Shepelev A.
19. Orazov B.
7. Deryabin D.
87. Beketayev A. (A)
18. Starkov S. (C)
22. Panyukov K.
16. Shen P.
12. Logvin V.
38. Tertyshny N.
96. Asetov A.
Line 4
23. Kudashov A.
24. Breus D.
88. Timashov D.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.
47. Usmanov D.
17. Omirbekov A.
65. Chezganov Y.
29. Lyapunov K.
Substitutes
35. Huska A. (G)
79. Mindubayev T.
43. Shutov A. (G)
Coaches
. Bratash O.
. Kravets M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
06:20, Kulbakov I. (2 min),
09:36, 1 - 0, Timashov D. (G), Usmanov D. (A), Chezganov Y. (A2)
11:22, 1 - 1, Logvin V. (G),
13:11, Yefremov N. (2 min),
18:46, Thompson T. (2 min),
18:46, Chezganov Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:17, 1 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Walsh R. (A),
03:38, 2 - 2, Chezganov Y. (G), Usmanov D. (A), Sulak L. (A2)
07:18, 3 - 2, Shen P. (G), Starkov S. (A),
09:13, 4 - 2, Osnovin V. (G), Olson K. (A), Deryabin D. (A2)
09:13, Scheel A. ↓, Shutov A. ↑,
10:07, Soshnikov N. (2 min),
16:27, Usmanov D. (2 min),
16:27, McCoshen I. (2 min),
19:46, Beketayev A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:10, Asetov A. (2 min),
07:55, Morelli M. (2 min),
09:48, Savitsky K. (2 min),
13:11, (2 min),
18:45, 5 - 2, Zavgorodny D. (G), Timashov D. (A), Osnovin V. (A2)
18:57, 6 - 2, Deryabin D. (G), Solyannikov G. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Barys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Admiral has had a series of home games.
Recently, Barys has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 48:50. (average 2.4:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Admiral won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 2.3:2.8).