Match Info

AHL

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: CAA Arena (Belleville, ON) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:00	Flohockey


	Belleville Senators		Cleveland Monsters

	1	X	2
	2.63	4.2	2.05	Watch
	2.65	4	2.19
	2.66	4.3	2.18
	2.66	4.33	2.16	Watch
	2.7	4.2	2.1
	2.64	4.1	2.15	Watch
	2.7	3.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.47)	4.14 ↓ (4.15)	2.15 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belleville Senators
34.7%

Draw
22.3%

Cleveland Monsters
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

22.4%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

23.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cleveland Monsters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Monsters than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cleveland Monsters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belleville Senators - Cleveland Monsters Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sogaard M. (G)	36. Sawchenko Z. (G)
58. Bolduc S.	37. Ahcan R.
16. Boucher T.	21. Aston-Reese Z.
13. Bourgault X.	25. Bezeau R.
92. Clarke G.	39. Butcher W.
8. Duarte M.	4. Ceulemans C.
29. Hamara T.	10. Del Bel Belluz L.
14. Harrington S. (A)	88. Dumais J.
42. Hodgson H.	16. Gaunce B. (C)
39. Hookey L.	8. Holm O.
43. Kaliyev A.	54. Marrelli L.
15. Lycksell O.	6. Mayo D. (A)
25. O'Rourke R.	93. McCue M.
32. Pettersson O.	41. McKown H.
22. Pilon G. (C)	53. Pinelli L.
19. Rees J.	82. Pyyhtia M.
44. Toure D.	26. Richard G.
27. Washkurak K. (A)	12. Sillinger O. (A)
26. Yakemchuk C.	29. Williams J.
Substitutes
35. Merilainen L. (G)	28. Fedotov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
07:29, 0 - 1, Del Bel Belluz L. (G), Pyyhtia M. (A), Mayo D. (A2)
08:49, 1 - 1, Kaliyev A. (G), Bourgault X. (A), O'Rourke R. (A2)
17:55, 1 - 2, Pinelli L. (G), Sillinger O. (A), Ceulemans C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:32, 2 - 2, Kaliyev A. (G), Bourgault X. (A), Bolduc S. (A2)
07:47, 2 - 3, Pyyhtia M. (G), Sillinger O. (A), Marrelli L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
05:17, 2 - 4, Del Bel Belluz L. (G), McKown H. (A), Pyyhtia M. (A2)
09:19, 2 - 5, Aston-Reese Z. (G),
16:48, 2 - 6, Ahcan R. (G),
18:17, 2 - 7, Del Bel Belluz L. (G),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cleveland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 43:59. (average 2.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.7:2.6).

Outrights of AHL for now

Cleveland Monsters: 2.74% Belleville Senators: 1.98%

Last Results with these Odds

Cleveland Monsters - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belleville Senators
AHL
15.03.26	Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators	3:6 ✺
07.03.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	7:3 ✺
06.03.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:2 ✺
28.02.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL
- Cleveland Monsters
AHL
17.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters	4:2 ✺
13.03.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Cleveland Monsters	1:3 ✺
11.03.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Cleveland Monsters	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Cleveland Monsters - Grand Rapids Griffins	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Cleveland Monsters - Grand Rapids Griffins	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
31.01.26	Cleveland Monsters - Belleville Senators	6:5 OT
30.01.26	Cleveland Monsters - Belleville Senators	6:5
13.12.25	Belleville Senators - Cleveland Monsters	1:4
26.03.25	Belleville Senators - Cleveland Monsters	1:5
23.03.25	Belleville Senators - Cleveland Monsters	1:2
24.02.25	Cleveland Monsters - Belleville Senators	1:2 OT
23.02.25	Cleveland Monsters - Belleville Senators	1:2 penalties

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