The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Marlies 43.9%
Draw 23.7%
Cleveland Monsters 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
22.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
25.7%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Cleveland Monsters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Monsters than the current prediction. (-3%)
Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
36. Sawchenko Z. (G)
58. Chadwick N.
37. Ahcan R.
53. Cowan E.
21. Aston-Reese Z.
38. Danford B.
25. Bezeau R.
29. Groulx B.
39. Butcher W.
43. Haymes L.
4. Ceulemans C.
65. Johnson R. (A)
10. Del Bel Belluz L.
71. Lettieri V.
20. Fasching H. (A)
36. Mermis D. (A)
16. Gaunce B. (C)
92. Nylander A.
54. Marrelli L.
56. Pare C.
6. Mayo D.
61. Pezzetta M.
41. McKown H.
26. Quillan J.
24. Pearson J.
83. Rifai M.
53. Pinelli L.
11. Shaw L. (C)
82. Pyyhtia M.
42. Sim L.
26. Richard G.
3. Thrun H.
12. Sillinger O. (A)
77. Tverberg R.
5. Svozil S.
76. Villeneuve W.
29. Williams J.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
35. Gardner E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
13:28, 1 - 0, Tverberg R. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:47, 2 - 0, Nylander A. (G), Haymes L. (A), Tverberg R. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
04:45, 3 - 0, Thrun H. (G), Shaw L. (A), Lettieri V. (A2)
12:53, 4 - 0, Quillan J. (G), Danford B. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
17:21, 4 - 1, Williams J. (G), Fasching H. (A), Butcher W. (A2)
18:22, 5 - 1, Tverberg R. (G),
18:58, 5 - 2, Del Bel Belluz L. (G), Williams J. (A), Marrelli L. (A2)
Preview
Cleveland Monsters leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cleveland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Cleveland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 54:64. (average 2.7:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:38. (average 3.1:3.8).