The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hershey Bears 43.9%
Draw 22%
Belleville Senators 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
21.5%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
22.7%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hershey Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hershey Bears that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belleville Senators could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Petersen C. (G)
31. Parsons J. (G)
2. Allen C.
2. Andonovski M.
55. Anderson J.
17. Bakke Olsen E.
7. Belpedio L. (C)
58. Bolduc S.
43. Bitten S.
16. Boucher T.
22. Brodzinski J. (A)
13. Bourgault X.
5. Chesley R.
51. Bowers S.
20. Cristall A.
10. Daoust P. (A)
19. Cruikshank G.
8. Duarte M.
21. Dunne J.
28. Eliasson G.
4. Holl J.
29. Ellinas L.
15. Lakovic L.
12. Halttunen K.
26. MacDonald J. (A)
14. Harrington S. (A)
13. Mateiko E.
15. Kyrou C.
34. Muggli L.
47. Montgomery B.
12. Niederbach T.
32. Pettersson O.
36. Sikora P.
6. Suzuki R.
11. Smallman S.
53. Tomasino P. (A)
44. Trineyev B.
44. Toure D.
Substitutes
1. Bjorklund G. (G)
45. Reidler K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:49, 0 - 1, Daoust P. (G), Tomasino P. (A), Kyrou C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:35, 0 - 2, Tomasino P. (G), Bowers S. (A),
14:02, 1 - 2, Smallman S. (G), Niederbach T. (A), Chesley R. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
05:19, 2 - 2, Anderson J. (G), Holl J. (A),
08:00, 3 - 2, Lakovic L. (G),
18:01, 4 - 2, Anderson J. (G), Cruikshank G. (A), Chesley R. (A2)
19:52, 5 - 2, Cruikshank G. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 1.
Hershey is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Belleville have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Belleville may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hershey has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Hershey in today's match, at odds of 2.24.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hershey has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:61 (averaging 3:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hershey against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 24:39 goals (averaging 2.4:3.9 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Hershey Bears: 3.39% Belleville Senators: 1.98%
Last Results with these Odds
Hershey Bears - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Belleville Senators - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.17%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Petersen C. (G) 
Parsons J. (G) 
Bakke Olsen E. 
Eliasson G. 
Halttunen K. 
Mateiko E. 
Muggli L. 
Sikora P. 
Trineyev B. 
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