Match Info

NHL

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	HBO Max, TNT
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Buffalo Sabres		Calgary Flames

	1	X	2
	2	4.2	3.1	Watch
	2.03	4.39	3.01
	2.1	4.3	2.95
	2.22	4.28	2.67	Watch
	2.06	4.43	2.97
	1.93	4.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.22)	4.32 ↑ (4.28)	2.98 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
46.1%

Draw
22%

Calgary Flames
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

22.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Buffalo Sabres - Calgary Flames Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Calgary will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Calgary (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Ellis C. (G)	1. Cooley D. (G)
26. Dahlin R. (C)	4. Andersson R. (A)
23. Samuelsson M. (A)	7. Bahl K.
89. Tuch A. (A)	27. Coronato M.
72. Thompson T.	16. Frost M.
91. Doan J.	10. Huberdeau J.
Line 2
78. Bryson J.	52. Weegar M.
25. Power O.	37. Kuznetsov Y.
22. Quinn J.	86. Farabee J.
71. McLeod R.	91. Kadri N.
63. Rosen I.	17. Sharangovich Y.
Line 3
21. Timmins C.	94. Pachal B.
4. Byram B.	24. Bean J.
19. Krebs P.	20. Coleman B. (A)
48. Kozak T.	11. Backlund M. (C)
12. Greenway J.	47. Zary C.
Line 4
29. Malenstyn B.	43. Klapka A.
86. Ostlund N.	45. Morton S.
44. Dunne J.	18. Beecher J.
Substitutes
34. Lyon A. (G)	32. Wolf D. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.	. Huska R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:39, Frost M. (2 min),
05:58, 0 - 1, Andersson R. (G), Sharangovich Y. (A), Bahl K. (A2)
12:04, 0 - 2, Farabee J. (G), Kadri N. (A), Sharangovich Y. (A2)
18:17, Dunne J. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:39, Hanley J. (2 min),
10:21, 1 - 2, Samuelsson M. (G),
11:39, Coleman B. (2 min),
15:57, 2 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Samuelsson M. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
02:02, 2 - 3, Frost M. (G), Huberdeau J. (A), Coronato M. (A2)
07:34, 2 - 4, Backlund M. (G), Andersson R. (A),
09:50, 2 - 5, Farabee J. (G), Andersson R. (A), Kadri N. (A2)
17:49, 2 - 6, Coronato M. (G), Huberdeau J. (A), Frost M. (A2)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.

Buffalo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calgary is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.

Buffalo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Buffalo: Benson Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kesselring M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Head Injury) Norris J. (Upper-Body Injury) Zucker J. (Illness)

There will not play in Calgary: Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury) Parekh Z. (Upper-Body Injury) Pospisil M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 55:65. (average 2.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 2.6:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
17.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	5:1 ✺
15.11.25	Detroit Red Wings - Buffalo Sabres	4:5 OT ✺
13.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
12.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
08.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL
- Calgary Flames
NHL
18.11.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Calgary Flames	5:2 ✺
15.11.25	Calgary Flames - Winnipeg Jets	3:4 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Calgary Flames - San Jose Sharks	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	St. Louis Blues - Calgary Flames	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Calgary Flames	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
23.01.25	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	5:2
09.11.24	Buffalo Sabres - Calgary Flames	3:2 penalties
24.03.24	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	1:4
19.10.23	Buffalo Sabres - Calgary Flames	3:4
11.02.23	Buffalo Sabres - Calgary Flames	2:7
20.10.22	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	3:6
18.03.22	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	0:1 OT

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