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Current Win Probability
Buffalo Sabres 48.7%
Draw 22.3%
Vancouver Canucks 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
21.6%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
20.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Vancouver Canucks aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.2%
11.1%
16.7%
Buffalo Sabres - Vancouver Canucks Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Vancouver will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 51.5% – 92.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 3rd Period - Vancouver (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 2nd Period - Vancouver (3.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Period - Vancouver (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 4 - 50%). Vancouver (votes: 4 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Luukkonen U. (G)
35. Demko T. (G)
26. Dahlin R. (C)
5. Willander T.
23. Samuelsson M.
29. Pettersson M.
91. Doan J.
94. Karlsson L.
72. Thompson T. (A)
40. Pettersson E.
19. Krebs P.
74. DeBrusk J.
Line 2
25. Power O.
17. Hronek F. (A)
4. Byram B.
24. Buium Z.
89. Tuch A. (A)
6. Boeser B. (A)
9. Norris J.
63. Sasson M.
17. Zucker J.
91. Kane E.
Line 3
73. Metsa Z.
57. Myers T. (A)
78. Bryson J.
7. Joseph P.
22. Quinn J.
44. Sherwood K.
71. McLeod R.
64. Kampf D.
6. Benson Z.
18. O'Connor D.
Line 4
29. Malenstyn B.
21. Hoglander N.
86. Ostlund N.
54. Raty A.
12. Greenway J.
92. Ohgren L.
Substitutes
92. Ellis C. (G)
32. Lankinen K. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.
. Foote A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:01, 1 - 0, Thompson T. (G), Byram B. (A), Power O. (A2)
03:21, Norris J. (2 min),
10:49, Byram B. (2 min),
11:24, 2 - 0, McLeod R. (G), Tuch A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:09, Willander T. (2 min),
09:37, 3 - 0, Tuch A. (G), Byram B. (A), Norris J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 3)
06:13, 4 - 0, Metsa Z. (G), Malenstyn B. (A), Greenway J. (A2)
08:26, Thompson T. (2 min),
10:17, 4 - 1, DeBrusk J. (G), Sherwood K. (A), Boeser B. (A2)
15:16, 4 - 2, Pettersson E. (G), Boeser B. (A), Kane E. (A2)
15:55, 4 - 3, Ohgren L. (G), Pettersson M. (A), Karlsson L. (A2)
18:36, 5 - 3, Doan J. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.
Buffalo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vancouver is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.
Recently, Vancouver has had a series of home games.
Buffalo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kulich J.
(Health problems)
Lyon A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Timmins C.
(Broken Leg)
Zucker J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Chytil F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Forbort D.
(Injury)
Garland C.
(Injury)
Rossi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Buffalo: Kesselring M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kozak T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
We predict that Buffalo will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 63:61. (average 3.2:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 3.2:3.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Buffalo Sabres: 2.45% Vancouver Canucks: 0.23%
Last Results with these Odds
Buffalo Sabres - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.78%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Vancouver Canucks - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.