Match Info

NHL

Date: 31 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, Victory+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Dallas Stars		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	3	Watch
	2.06	4.18	3.06
	2.03	4.3	3.06	Watch
	2	4.33	3.2
	2.08	4.35	2.98
	1.95	4.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.93)	4.27 ↓ (4.61)	3.08 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
46.9%

Draw
22.3%

Buffalo Sabres
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

21.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

22.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dallas Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Dallas Stars - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. DeSmith C. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	26. Dahlin R. (C)
23. Lindell E. (A)	23. Samuelsson M.
96. Rantanen M.	91. Doan J.
53. Johnston W.	72. Thompson T. (A)
18. Steel S.	19. Krebs P.
Line 2
5. Lundkvist N.	8. Kesselring M.
55. Harley T.	25. Power O.
22. Bourque M.	89. Tuch A. (A)
24. Hintz R.	9. Norris J.
21. Robertson J.	86. Ostlund N.
Line 3
28. Petrovic A.	73. Metsa Z.
46. Lyubushkin I.	4. Byram B.
14. Benn Ja. (C)	22. Quinn J.
95. Duchene M.	71. McLeod R.
49. Hryckowian J.	6. Benson Z.
Line 4
15. Blackwell C.	29. Malenstyn B.
12. Faksa R.	44. Dunne J.
10. Back O.	12. Greenway J.
Substitutes
29. Oettinger J. (G)	34. Lyon A. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:15, 1 - 0, Bourque M. (G), Robertson J. (A), Heiskanen M. (A2)
00:38, Faksa R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:41, Hryckowian J. (2 min),
04:44, Doan J. (2 min),
07:44, 1 - 1, Doan J. (G), Thompson T. (A),
17:05, 1 - 2, Byram B. (G), Ostlund N. (A), Tuch A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
03:59, Thompson T. (2 min),
09:21, 1 - 3, Thompson T. (G), Doan J. (A), Byram B. (A2)
11:35, 1 - 4, Thompson T. (G), Ostlund N. (A), Power O. (A2)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.

Dallas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buffalo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dallas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Lyubushkin I. (Illness) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Ellis C. (Concussion) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg) Zucker J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Lundkvist N. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Kozak T. (Upper-Body Injury) Lyon A. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 65:46. (average 3.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 3.1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Stars - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 50.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
27.12.25	Dallas Stars - Chicago Blackhawks	3:4 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Detroit Red Wings - Dallas Stars	4:3 OT ✺
21.12.25	Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:1 ✺
19.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Dallas Stars	3:8 ✺
18.12.25	San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
29.12.25	St. Louis Blues - Buffalo Sabres	2:4 ✺
27.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins	4:1 ✺
23.12.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT ✺
21.12.25	New Jersey Devils - Buffalo Sabres	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - New York Islanders	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
31.12.24	Dallas Stars - Buffalo Sabres	4:2
22.10.24	Buffalo Sabres - Dallas Stars	4:2
09.04.24	Dallas Stars - Buffalo Sabres	3:2
06.02.24	Buffalo Sabres - Dallas Stars	1:2
09.03.23	Buffalo Sabres - Dallas Stars	4:10
23.01.23	Dallas Stars - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT
27.02.22	Dallas Stars - Buffalo Sabres	4:2

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