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Current Win Probability
Calgary Flames 25.6%
Draw 21.6%
Minnesota Wild 52.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.5%
22.5%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
23.2%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calgary Flames's form might have worsened.
Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota Wild's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calgary Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Minnesota Wild will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Cooley D. (G)
30. Wallstedt J. (G)
71. Nemec S.
46. Spurgeon J. (A)
7. Bahl K.
43. Hughes Q.
17. Sharangovich Y.
12. Boldy M.
16. Frost M.
14. Eriksson Ek J. (A)
61. Suniev A.
97. Kaprizov K. (A)
Line 2
28. Whitecloud Z. (A)
25. Brodin J.
55. Middleton J.
3. Maatta O.
27. Coronato M.
10. Brink B.
18. Jones B. (C)
38. Hartman R.
86. Farabee J.
20. Coleman B.
Line 3
19. Parekh Z.
24. Bogosian Z.
37. Kuznetsov Y.
48. Hunt D.
22. Strome R. (A)
49. Shabanov M.
76. Pospisil M.
22. Yurov D.
92. Gridin M.
13. Trenin Y.
Line 4
43. Klapka A.
19. Pitlick T.
38. Castagna J.
47. McCarron M.
78. Othmann B.
78. Sturm N.
Substitutes
32. Wolf D. (G)
31. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.
. Hynes J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
05:28, Trenin Y. (2 min),
09:30, Coleman B. (2 min),
10:49, 1 - 0, Suniev A. (G), Klapka A. (A),
13:22, Bogosian Z. (2 min),
14:06, 2 - 0, Farabee J. (G), Frost M. (A), Coronato M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
12:14, Kuznetsov Y. (2 min),
14:20, Strome R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:02, Coronato M. (2 min),
04:39, 2 - 1, McCarron M. (G), Sturm N. (A), Brodin J. (A2)
05:51, Pospisil M. (2 min),
14:50, Hughes Q. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Calgary could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Minnesota holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Calgary: Honzek S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Huberdeau J.
(Hip Injury).
Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Faber B.
(Head Injury)
Foligno M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Foligno N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Gustavsson F.
(Hip Injury)
Maatta O.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Spurgeon J.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Calgary: Backlund M.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Calgary has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:51 (averaging 2.8:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Calgary against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 30:25 goals (averaging 3.3:2.8 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Minnesota Wild: 6.13% Calgary Flames: 0.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Flames - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.47%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.05%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Cooley D. (G) 
Wallstedt J. (G) 
Nemec S. 
Spurgeon J. (A) 
Sharangovich Y. 
Suniev A. 
Maatta O. 
Klapka A. 
Sturm N. 
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