The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calgary Hitmen 41.4%
Draw 20%
Victoria Royals 38.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51%
20.2%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
21.1%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Hitmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calgary Hitmen's form might have worsened.
Victoria Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Royals's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calgary Hitmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Royals than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Royals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Calgary Hitmen - Victoria Royals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Hesse A. (G)
1. Prelusky C. (G)
15. Anaka G.
8. Bisbee A.
7. Aura H. (A)
89. Cooper M. (C)
3. Batchelor T.
16. Danyleyko W.
14. Belanger G.
9. Matthews C.
29. Brown B. (A)
19. Moore H. (A)
23. Correia A.
18. Novak F.
4. Hamilton C.
73. Peroutka M.
26. Hildebrandt S.
11. Perreault L. (A)
21. Jundt K.
22. Peterson H.
11. Katsuro A.
88. Schmidt C.
5. Laylin B.
7. Schulte S.
6. Leander J.
91. Silver M.
27. Maze J.
17. Stewart N. (A)
10. McCann K.
53. Uhrina D.
8. Molgachyov A.
4. Vauhkonen O.
9. Sanderson C. (A)
14. Virk S.
2. Simard M.
44. Yellowaga N.
18. Vanek B.
74. Young L.
Substitutes
31. Tu E. (G)
31. Downey A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
00:40, 0 - 1, Schmidt C. (G), Cooper M. (A), Perreault L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
05:50, 0 - 2, Moore H. (G), Virk S. (A), Bisbee A. (A2)
15:40, 0 - 3, Moore H. (G), Virk S. (A),
16:19, 1 - 3, Katsuro A. (G), Hamilton C. (A), Vanek B. (A2)
18:40, 2 - 3, Maze J. (G), Vanek B. (A), Aura H. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:27, 2 - 4, Moore H. (G), Stewart N. (A), Vauhkonen O. (A2)
12:27, 2 - 5, Moore H. (G), Vauhkonen O. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 3.
Calgary has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Victoria is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Calgary is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Calgary has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:75 (averaging 3.1:4.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Calgary against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 31:32 goals (averaging 3.4:3.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Hitmen - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.95%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Victoria Royals - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.89%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.