Match Info

NHL

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 4
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 4
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Winnipeg Jets

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.6	Watch
	1.87	4.23	3.55
	1.87	4.4	3.45
	1.85	4.43	3.48	Watch
	1.91	4.33	3.5
	1.92	4.32	3.6	Watch
	1.83	4.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	4.31 ↓ (4.37)	3.54 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
51%

Draw
22.1%

Winnipeg Jets
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

21.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

22.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Winnipeg Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Winnipeg will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	37. Hellebuyck C. (G)
43. Raddysh D.	2. DeMelo D.
90. Moser J.J.	44. Morrissey J. (A)
86. Kucherov N. (A)	13. Vilardi G.
71. Cirelli A. (A)	55. Scheifele M. (A)
38. Hagel B.	81. Connor K.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	57. Salomonsson E.
27. McDonagh R.	54. Samberg D.
93. Goncalves G.	9. Iafallo A.
17. James D.	19. Toews J.
59. Guentzel J. (A)	91. Perfetti C.
Line 3
24. Crozier M.	5. Schenn L.
67. Carlile D.	64. Stanley L.
29. Holmberg P.	7. Namestnikov V.
37. Gourde Y.	17. Lowry A. (C)
28. Girgensons Z.	62. Niederreiter N.
Line 4
62. Finley J.	70. Pearson T.
20. Paul N.	36. Barron M.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	45. Koepke C.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)	1. Comrie E. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Arniel S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:27, Moser J.J. (2 min),
14:58, 1 - 0, James D. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:37, 2 - 0, Raddysh D. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Girgensons Z. (A2)
02:17, DeMelo D. (2 min),
12:25, 2 - 1, Connor K. (G), Samberg D. (A), Scheifele M. (A2)
15:17, 3 - 1, Gourde Y. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:41, Finley J. (2 min),
09:25, Perfetti C. (2 min),
09:25, Cirelli A. (2 min),
18:52, 4 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Girgensons Z. (A2)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.

Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Winnipeg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: D'Astous C. (Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Lower-Body Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Winnipeg: Fleury H. (Upper-Body Injury) Miller C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Winnipeg: Pionk N. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 74:70. (average 3.7:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 3.8:3.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Winnipeg Jets: 0.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53.35%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
26.01.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Utah Mammoth	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning	8:5 ✺
23.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:2 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Winnipeg Jets
NHL
27.01.26	New Jersey Devils - Winnipeg Jets	3:4 ✺
24.01.26	Winnipeg Jets - Detroit Red Wings	1:5 ✺
22.01.26	Winnipeg Jets - Florida Panthers	1:2 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Winnipeg Jets - St. Louis Blues	3:1 ✺
19.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Winnipeg Jets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
14.11.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets	4:1
03.11.24	Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning	7:4
02.01.24	Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:2
22.11.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets	2:3 OT
12.03.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets	2:3
06.01.23	Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:2
16.04.22	Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets	7:4

Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide