The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 53.5%
Draw 21.1%
Winnipeg Jets 25.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.8%
20.6%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
20.4%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tampa Bay Lightning will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
74. Skinner S. (G)
74. Carlson J.
4. Pionk N.
90. Moser J.J.
54. Samberg D.
86. Kucherov N.
91. Perfetti C.
21. Point B.
55. Scheifele M.
93. Goncalves G.
81. Connor K.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.
2. DeMelo D.
27. McDonagh R.
38. Ferraro M.
59. Guentzel J.
13. Vilardi G.
71. Cirelli A.
17. Lowry A.
38. Hagel B.
27. Rosen I.
Line 3
78. Lilleberg E.
57. Salomonsson E.
51. D'Astous C.
24. Fleury H.
29. Holmberg P.
19. Mercer D.
17. James D.
61. Bjorck V.
95. Mikheyev I.
9. Iafallo A.
Line 4
77. Hedman V.
93. Lambert B.
94. Geekie C.
36. Barron M.
25. Truchon-Viel J.
45. Koepke C.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
33. Stevenson C. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Arniel S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
02:20, 1 - 0, Point B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
17:45, 1 - 1, Pionk N. (G), Perfetti C. (A), Scheifele M. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
02:55, Bjorck V. (2 min),
06:50, McDonagh R. (2 min),
09:43, 2 - 1, Geekie C. (G), James D. (A),
10:49, Kucherov N. (2 min),
14:25, DeMelo D. (2 min),
15:56, 3 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Holmberg P. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
18:07, 4 - 1, Carlson J. (G), Holmberg P. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
19:03, 5 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:01, Skinner S. ↓, Daws N. ↑,
07:00, 5 - 2, Samberg D. (G), Perfetti C. (A), Scheifele M. (A2)
08:50, 5 - 3, Pionk N. (G), Mercer D. (A), Connor K. (A2)
10:54, Bjorck V. (2 min),
17:12, 5 - 4, Connor K. (G), Scheifele M. (A), Samberg D. (A2)
18:29, 6 - 4, Holmberg P. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
Tampa Bay has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Winnipeg is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Tampa Bay is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Girgensons Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Gourde Y.
(Hip Injury).
Confirmed absences for Winnipeg: Bjugstad N.
(Chest Injury)
Morrissey J.
(Wrist Injury)
Namestnikov V.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Tampa Bay: Hagel B.
(Injury)
Hedman V.
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Tampa Bay in today's match, at odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:71 (averaging 3.7:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 41:32 goals (averaging 4.1:3.2 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.97% Winnipeg Jets: 0.71%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Winnipeg Jets - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.51%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Vasilevski A. (G) 
Skinner S. (G) 
Carlson J. 
Moser J.J. 
Cernak E. 
Rosen I. 
Lilleberg E. 
Lambert B. 
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