Match Info

AHL

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Bojangles Coliseum (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Charlotte Checkers		Bridgeport Islanders

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.1	Watch
	1.9	4.2	3.15
	1.88	4.6	3.13
	1.85	4.67	3.16	Watch
	1.83	4.33	3.1
	1.82	4.25	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	4.38 ↑ (4)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Checkers
49.8%

Draw
21.1%

Bridgeport Islanders
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

22.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Bridgeport Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Bridgeport Islanders aligns with the current prediction.

Charlotte Checkers - Bridgeport Islanders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Gerasimyuk K. (G)	50. Tikkanen H. (G)
27. Alscher M.	49. Bear E.
40. Bjornfot T. (A)	34. Beckman A.
5. Carrick T. (C)	14. Berg C.
36. Chorske B.	36. Drew H.
4. Devine J.	7. Dube P.
18. Entwistle M.	8. Foudy L.
39. Gaber R.	4. George I.
17. Gregor N.	20. Highmore M. (A)
14. Hovorka M.	16. Jefferies A.
21. Livingstone J.	11. Kuefler D.
7. Mastrosimone R.	29. Luff M.
26. Pinho B.	18. Maggio M.
15. Smith N.	3. McWard C.
6. Steeves B.	10. Mitchell T.
19. St. Martin H.	24. Rowe L.
23. Studnicka J.	25. Terry C. (A)
8. Vande Sompel M.	28. Veremyev G.
29. Vilmanis S.	6. Warren M.
Substitutes
70. Domingue L. (G)	1. Hogberg M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:22, 1 - 0, Studnicka J. (G), Gregor N. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:26, 2 - 0, Bjornfot T. (G),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2.

Charlotte is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bridgeport has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charlotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.

Charlotte might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 71:42. (average 3.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:21. (average 4.2:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlotte Checkers - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.96%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Bridgeport Islanders - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.28%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Checkers
AHL
13.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Bridgeport Islanders	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Charlotte Checkers	4:5 OT ✺
06.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Charlotte Checkers	3:5 ✺
03.03.26	Hershey Bears - Charlotte Checkers	1:4 ✺
02.03.26	Hershey Bears - Charlotte Checkers	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL
- Bridgeport Islanders
AHL
13.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Bridgeport Islanders	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	5:4 ✺
07.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Bridgeport Islanders	6:0 ✺
01.03.26	Providence Bruins - Bridgeport Islanders	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
13.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Bridgeport Islanders	3:0
25.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Charlotte Checkers	4:3 OT
05.04.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Charlotte Checkers	2:5
08.02.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Charlotte Checkers	5:1
22.12.24	Charlotte Checkers - Bridgeport Islanders	1:4
21.12.24	Charlotte Checkers - Bridgeport Islanders	6:2
23.11.24	Bridgeport Islanders - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 penalties

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