Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.36	5.66	Watch
	1.38	5	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	5.18 ↑ (4.54)	5.46 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
65.5%

Draw
17.7%

Rostov
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

20.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

20.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelmet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chelmet - Rostov Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	20. Puzyakov M. (G)
43. Rodionov M.	11. Tsalpanov Y.
42. Yusupov V. (A)	6. Gapochkin R.
29. Mokin M.	95. Korbit Y.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
12. Rykov A.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 2
18. Mikanovich D.	47. Krikunov V.
6. Smirnov N.	49. Balanov Y. (A)
16. Shen A.	26. Urulin S. (A)
83. Gorbunov S.	25. Sedantsov O.
10. Nizameyev A. (C)	17. Smolyov I.
Line 3
22. Filatov A.	94. Voronin N.
21. Kirpichnikov A.	44. Grishin P.
97. Matyushin A.	78. Kondyrev K.
57. Telegin N.	32. Barsukov T.
33. Rykmanov A.	73. Prokhorov A.
Line 4
90. Klimontov K. (A)	55. Machugin D.
77. Tertyshny A.	64. Sorokin S.
46. Shaveko V.	23. Kamensky Y.
37. Mits Z.	28. Klimov D.
36. Shubin D.
Substitutes
93. Mosharov D. (G)	31. Kapustin K. (G)
	70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:05, 0 - 1, Balanov Y. (G), Kondyrev K. (A), Prokhorov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:51, 1 - 1, Rykmanov A. (G), Yusupov V. (A), Aglamzyanov R. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
11:21, 2 - 1, Gorbunov S. (G), Rodionov M. (A),
18:40, 3 - 1, Gorbunov S. (G),
19:07, 3 - 2, Voronin N. (G), Grishin P. (A), Korbit Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelmet is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 2.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 2.2:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	11	2	1	2	6	20:44	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
18.01.26	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	4:5 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
10.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelmet	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWL
- HC Rostov
VHL
18.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Rostov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	0:1 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Rostov - Molot Perm	4:5 OT ✺
10.01.26	Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Rostov - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.10.25	Rostov - Chelmet	3:1
22.01.25	Chelmet - Rostov	2:3 OT
31.10.24	Rostov - Chelmet	2:4
02.12.23	Chelmet - Rostov	2:3 OT
04.11.23	Rostov - Chelmet	2:4
27.12.22	Chelmet - Rostov	2:1
22.10.22	Rostov - Chelmet	3:2 penalties

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