Match Info
VHLDate: 18 January 2026, SundayLocation: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)
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 |
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Gornyak-UGMK |
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Rostov |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.42 |
5.26 |
5.77 |
 Watch |
 |
1.38 |
5 |
5.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.39) |
5.13 ↑
(4.88) |
5.51 ↓
(6.02) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gornyak-UGMK
65.5% | Draw
17.9% | Rostov
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gornyak-UGMK that the model has picked up on.The ML Model estimate for Rostov aligns with the current prediction.Gornyak UGMK - Rostov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
30.  Novosyolov N. (G)
| 20. Puzyakov M. (G)
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90. Nekrasov N. (A)
| 11. Tsalpanov Y.
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4. Bolshakov M.
| 6. Gapochkin R.
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7. Gordin A.
| 95. Korbit Y.
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13. Zaytsev O. (C)
| 21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
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19. Chernikov Y.
| 8. Sokolov D.
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| Line 2 |
|---|
85. Zhuravlyov Y.
| 49. Balanov Y. (A)
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72. Trofimov Y.
| 47. Krikunov V.
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76. Kashtanov A.
| 26. Urulin S. (A)
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14. Makhrin M. (A)
| 25. Sedantsov O.
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44. Lukhovskoy N.
| 17. Smolyov I.
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| Line 3 |
|---|
22. Molodtsov D.
| 94. Voronin N.
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83.  Karpovich D.
| 44. Grishin P.
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29. Khremkin K.
| 78. Kondyrev K.
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10. Filyayev V.
| 32. Barsukov T.
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32. Borisov S.
| 73. Prokhorov A.
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| Line 4 |
|---|
91. Malorosiyanov D.
| 55. Machugin D.
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26. Ishimnikov N.
| 64. Sorokin S.
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80. Demidovich V.
| 23. Kamensky Y.
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18. Sushchev V.
| 28. Klimov D.
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79. Tarasov M.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
93. Romashkin P. (G)
| 31. Kapustin K. (G)
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| 70. Petkilev Y. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 03:47, 0 - 1, Barsukov T. (G), Voronin N. (A), Grishin P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 07:59, 0 - 2, Sedantsov O. (G), Urulin S. (A),
- 10:26, 0 - 3, Barsukov T. (G), Korbit Y. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:46, 0 - 4, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Sokolov D. (A),
- 06:42, 1 - 4, Chernikov Y. (G), Gordin A. (A), Romashkin P. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4.In recent matches, Gornyak-UGMK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Rostov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games. In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is seen as the favorite.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 3.5:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:15. (average 3.3:2.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VHL | | | 31.10.25 | Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK | 3:4 | | 20.01.25 | Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov | 3:2 penalties | | 02.11.24 | Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK | 1:3 | | 06.12.23 | Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov | 1:5 | | 10.11.23 | Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK | 3:7 | | 23.12.22 | Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov | 3:1 | | 26.10.22 | Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK | 4:3 |
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