The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Blackhawks 34.7%
Draw 22.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
22.1%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
22%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Blackhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.1%
23.5%
29.4%
Chicago Blackhawks - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 23.4% – 70.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Toronto (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5, OT - Toronto (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Toronto (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Toronto (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Toronto (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Knight S. (G)
60. Woll J. (G)
46. Crevier L.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
72. Vlasic A.
44. Rielly M. (A)
28. Burakovsky A.
88. Nylander W. (A)
98. Bedard C.
91. Tavares J. (A)
59. Bertuzzi T.
89. Robertson N.
Line 2
55. Levshunov A.
22. McCabe J.
44. Kaiser W.
2. Benoit S.
95. Mikheyev I.
74. McMann B.
20. Greene R.
11. Domi M.
86. Teravainen T.
63. Maccelli M.
Line 3
5. Murphy C. (A)
51. Myers P.
48. Grzelcyk M.
36. Mermis D.
34. Dach C.
53. Cowan E.
8. Donato R.
55. Roy N.
11. Moore O.
Line 4
24. Lafferty S.
19. Jarnkrok C.
17. Foligno N. (C)
18. Lorentz S.
84. Slaggert L.
23. Knies M.
Substitutes
40. Soderblom A. (G)
35. Hildeby D. (G)
Coaches
. Blashill J.
. Berube C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
11:05, 1 - 0, Greene R. (G), Levshunov A. (A), Kaiser W. (A2)
19:12, 1 - 1, Robertson N. (G), Tavares J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:53, Donato R. (2 min),
09:37, 1 - 2, Rielly M. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
09:37, (2 min),
14:27, Cowan E. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:44, Bedard C. (2 min),
05:12, 2 - 2, Teravainen T. (G), Nazar F. (A), Moore O. (A2)
07:18, Cowan E. (2 min),
15:35, 3 - 2, Dach C. (G), Crevier L. (A), Mikheyev I. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
Chicago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Chicago: Brossoit L.
(Hip Injury)
Dickinson J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nazar F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Weber S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Laughton S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Matthews A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Burakovsky A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 2.82.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 75:64. (average 3.8:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:34. (average 4.2:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 47.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.