The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 35.6%
Draw 23%
Los Angeles Kings 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
23.8%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
23.5%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
Los Angeles Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles Kings's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Kings than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles Kings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.6%
29.4%
52.9%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Los Angeles Kings Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 29.2% – 76.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5, OT - Los Angeles (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Los Angeles (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Los Angeles (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles Kings will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 11 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Hildeby D. (G)
35. Kuemper D. (G)
25. Carlo B.
8. Doughty D. (A)
44. Rielly M.
44. Anderson M.
88. Nylander W.
9. Kempe A.
91. Tavares J.
11. Kopitar A. (C)
23. Knies M.
40. Armia J.
Line 2
22. McCabe J.
92. Clarke B.
2. Benoit S.
6. Edmundson J.
74. McMann B.
14. Laferriere A.
11. Domi M.
55. Byfield Q.
89. Robertson N.
22. Fiala K.
Line 3
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
5. Ceci C.
36. Mermis D.
2. Dumoulin B.
63. Maccelli M.
12. Moore T.
55. Roy N.
24. Danault P. (A)
81. Joshua D.
37. Foegele W.
Line 4
19. Jarnkrok C.
10. Perry C.
18. Lorentz S.
15. Turcotte A.
79. Blais S.
39. Malott J.
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
31. Forsberg A. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Hiller J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
04:18, Tavares J. (2 min),
08:06, 1 - 0, McMann B. (G),
16:39, 2 - 0, Tavares J. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A),
16:47, Nylander W. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:51, Perry C. (2 min),
06:51, 2 - 1, Foegele W. (G), Doughty D. (A), Anderson M. (A2)
15:41, 2 - 2, Fiala K. (G), Byfield Q. (A),
17:16, 3 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
13:10, 3 - 3, Laferriere A. (G), Clarke B. (A), Dumoulin B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:35, 3 - 4, Byfield Q. (G), Doughty D. (A), Kempe A. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Toronto: Laughton S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 57:46. (average 2.9:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 3.2:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 41.48%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Los Angeles Kings - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.