The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Wolves 42.7%
Draw 22.9%
Toronto Marlies 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
22.8%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
24.9%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Wolves than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Wolves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Marlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Chicago Wolves - Toronto Marlies Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Primeau C. (G)
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
22. Brind'Amour S.
33. Benning M. (A)
2. Fensore D.
53. Cowan E.
52. Foote C.
38. Danford B.
10. Gunler N.
29. Groulx B.
5. Legault C.
43. Haymes L.
82. Nadeau B.
57. Johnstone M. (A)
79. Neuchev V.
71. Lettieri V.
9. Nystrom J.
36. Mermis D.
15. Pavlychev N.
92. Nylander A.
12. Philp N.
56. Pare C.
93. Robidas J. (A)
61. Pezzetta M.
27. Ryabkin I.
83. Rifai M.
8. Seeley R. (A)
11. Shaw L. (C)
23. Slavin J. (C)
42. Sim L.
6. Suzuki R.
3. Thrun H.
20. Turcotte Y.
77. Tverberg R.
4. Valimaki J.
39. Valis B.
41. Vierling E.
76. Villeneuve W.
Substitutes
35. Miftakhov A. (G)
35. Hildeby D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:53, 1 - 0, Legault C. (G), Slavin J. (A), Gunler N. (A2)
11:17, 1 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
15:40, 2 - 1, Philp N. (G), Robidas J. (A), Nadeau B. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:12, 2 - 2, Nylander A. (Penalty Shot),
15:45, 2 - 3, Shaw L. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Benning M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
08:33, 3 - 3, Valimaki J. (G), Suzuki R. (A), Robidas J. (A2)
13:20, 3 - 4, Groulx B. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Lettieri V. (A2)
19:43, 4 - 4, Valimaki J. (G), Philp N. (A), Suzuki R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:46, 4 - 5, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
Preview
Toronto Marlies leads series 1-0. Second leg.
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 44:65. (average 2.2:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 2.2:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Wolves - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.43%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
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Primeau C. (G) 
Akhtyamov A. (G) 
Benning M. (A) 
Gunler N. 
Valimaki J. 
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