The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cleveland Monsters 36.7%
Draw 23.5%
Toronto Marlies 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
23%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
25.3%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cleveland Monsters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Monsters than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Sawchenko Z. (G)
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
37. Ahcan R.
58. Chadwick N.
21. Aston-Reese Z.
53. Cowan E.
25. Bezeau R.
38. Danford B.
39. Butcher W.
29. Groulx B.
4. Ceulemans C.
43. Haymes L.
10. Del Bel Belluz L.
65. Johnson R. (A)
20. Fasching H.
71. Lettieri V.
16. Gaunce B. (C)
36. Mermis D. (A)
54. Marrelli L.
92. Nylander A.
6. Mayo D. (A)
56. Pare C.
41. McKown H.
61. Pezzetta M.
24. Pearson J.
26. Quillan J.
53. Pinelli L.
83. Rifai M.
82. Pyyhtia M.
11. Shaw L. (C)
26. Richard G.
42. Sim L.
12. Sillinger O. (A)
3. Thrun H.
5. Svozil S.
77. Tverberg R.
29. Williams J.
76. Villeneuve W.
Substitutes
35. Gardner E. (G)
35. Hildeby D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
06:31, 1 - 0, Aston-Reese Z. (G), Pinelli L. (A), Gaunce B. (A2)
12:56, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Mermis D. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:03, 2 - 1, Fasching H. (G), Svozil S. (A), Sillinger O. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:30, 2 - 2, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Pare C. (A2)
19:48, 2 - 3, Cowan E. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Quillan J. (A2)
Preview
Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:57. (average 3.2:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.6:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Cleveland Monsters - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 49% of matches with these odds.