The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Columbus Blue Jackets 32.2%
Draw 21.9%
Vegas Golden Knights 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
21.5%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
21%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Blue Jackets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Blue Jackets than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
38.5%
46.2%
Columbus Blue Jackets - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vegas Golden Knights will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
73. Greaves J. (G)
79. Hart C. (G)
5. Mateychuk D.
27. Theodore S.
8. Werenski Z. (A)
3. McNabb B. (A)
86. Marchenko K.
42. Bowman B.
19. Fantilli A.
9. Eichel J.
38. Jenner B.
49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
78. Severson D.
2. Whitecloud Z.
9. Provorov I.
15. Hanifin N.
21. Lundestrom I.
61. Stone M. (C)
23. Monahan S. (A)
21. Howden B.
10. Voronkov D.
93. Marner M.
Line 3
15. Fabbro D.
6. Korczak K.
7. Smith B.
17. Hutton B.
4. Sillinger C.
16. Dorofeyev P.
3. Coyle C. (A)
48. Hertl T.
11. Wood M.
19. Smith R.
Line 4
59. Chinakhov Y.
55. Kolesar K.
16. Gaunce B.
10. Sissons C.
91. Johnson K.
23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
90. Merzlikins E. (G)
40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Evason D.
. Cassidy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
07:02, 1 - 0, Coyle C. (G), Werenski Z. (A), Sillinger C. (A2)
10:49, Saad B. (2 min),
15:02, Voronkov D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:16, Severson D. (2 min),
00:41, 1 - 1, Dorofeyev P. (G), Marner M. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
02:31, Smith B. (2 min),
08:14, Howden B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:48, 2 - 1, Chinakhov Y. (G), Fabbro D. (A), Johnson K. (A2)
05:52, 2 - 2, Hutton B. (G), Marner M. (A), Korczak K. (A2)
13:13, 2 - 3, McNabb B. (G), Marner M. (A), Bowman B. (A2)
17:01, McNabb B. (2 min),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.
Columbus is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vegas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Columbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vegas has had a series of away games.
Vegas might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Columbus: Gudbranson E.
(Hip Injury)
Olivier M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Vegas: Hill A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lauzon J.
(Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
We predict that Vegas will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:41. (average 2.7:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2.9:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Columbus Blue Jackets - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.91%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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Greaves J. (G) 
Werenski Z. (A) 
Marchenko K. 
Lundestrom I. 
Hertl T. 
Merzlikins E. (G) 
Schmid A. (G) 
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