Match Info

NHL

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:30	TNT Sports
Australia	13:30	ESPN 2
Brazil	23:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Colombia	21:30	ESPN 4
Croatia	04:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	04:30	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	04:30	6'eren, HBO Max, Viaplay
Finland	05:30	Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	04:30	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Mexico	20:30	ESPN 3
Netherlands	04:30	ESPN 4
Norway	04:30	Viaplay
Peru	21:30	ESPN 4
Serbia	04:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	04:30	Nova Sport 2
Slovenia	04:30	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	04:30	Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	05:30	Amazon Prime Video
United Kingdom	03:30	Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Usa	22:30	ESPN USA, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
International	02:30	NHL.tv


	Vegas Golden Knights		Tampa Bay Lightning

	1	X	2
	2.40	4.10	2.40	Watch
	2.40	4.00	2.40
	2.38	4.25	2.55
	2.46	4.21	2.46
	2.44	4.21	2.47	Watch
	2.45	4.15	2.45
	2.51	4.26	2.52
	2.43	4.10	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.23)	4.16 ↓ (4.35)	2.46 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegas Golden Knights
38.8%

Draw
22.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

21.7%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

22.3%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
79. Hart C. (G)	88. Vasilevski A. (G)
27. Theodore S.	74. Carlson J.
3. McNabb B.	90. Moser J.J.
61. Stone M. (C)	86. Kucherov N. (A)
9. Eichel J. (A)	71. Cirelli A.
49. Barbashev I.	38. Hagel B.
Line 2
4. Andersson R.	81. Cernak E.
5. Lauzon J.	27. McDonagh R. (A)
93. Marner M.	93. Goncalves G.
71. Karlsson W. (A)	21. Point B.
21. Howden B.	59. Guentzel J.
Line 3
52. Coghlan D.	24. Crozier M.
15. Hanifin N.	77. Hedman V. (C)
36. Lavoie R.	29. Holmberg P.
48. Hertl T.	28. Girgensons Z.
24. Connelly T.	95. Mikheyev I.
Line 4
17. Gatcomb M.	51. D'Astous C.
26. Dowd N.	14. Geekie C.
42. Bowman B.	17. James D.
Substitutes
33. Hill A. (G)	35. Hildeby D. (G)
Coaches
. Craig R.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:32, Coghlan D. (2 min),
04:11, 0 - 1, Hagel B. (G), D'Astous C. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
07:38, Geekie C. (2 min),
13:16, 1 - 1, Barbashev I. (G), Marner M. (A),
14:04, 1 - 2, Carlson J. (G),
17:06, McNabb B. (2 min),
18:30, 2 - 2, Stone M. (G), Bowman B. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
01:18, Marner M. (2 min),
01:41, D'Astous C. (2 min),
06:44, 2 - 3, Cirelli A. (G), Kucherov N. (A),
10:09, 2 - 4, Cirelli A. (G),
12:31, Holmberg P. (2 min),
17:56, 2 - 5, Hedman V. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:24, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
05:16, 2 - 6, Kucherov N. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Vegas: Olofsson V. (Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y. (Hip Injury).

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Vegas has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:53 (averaging 3.3:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vegas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:30 goals (averaging 3.6:3.8 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.86% Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.97%

Last Results with these Odds

Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.36%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
17.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:2 ✺
15.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	6:2 ✺
13.10.26	Nashville Predators - Vegas Golden Knights	2:5 ✺
12.10.26	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW
- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
17.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	4:2 ✺
15.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken	4:3 AET ✺
13.10.26	New York Rangers - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:5 ✺
08.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
06.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:6
26.10.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights	2:1 OT
23.03.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:2
17.10.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3
19.03.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:5
21.12.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights	5:4
09.03.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4 OT

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