Match Info

NHL

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Dallas Stars		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.2	3.4	Watch
	1.93	4.39	3.26
	1.93	4.3	3.31
	1.88	4.41	3.39	Watch
	2	4.33	3.25
	1.92	4.44	3.33
	1.83	4.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)	4.35 ↓ (4.72)	3.35 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
49.7%

Draw
21.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

20.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

19.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Pittsburgh (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Stars will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 3 - 60%). Pittsburgh (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Oettinger J. (G)	35. Jarry T. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	58. Letang K. (A)
23. Lindell E. (A)	5. Shea R.
14. Benn Ja. (C)	17. Rust B.
24. Hintz R.	87. Crosby S. (C)
21. Robertson J.	13. Hayes K.
Line 2
46. Lyubushkin I.	65. Karlsson E.
44. Kolyachonok V.	28. Wotherspoon P.
96. Rantanen M.	39. Mantha A.
53. Johnston W.	71. Malkin E. (A)
18. Steel S.	18. Novak T.
Line 3
28. Petrovic A.	75. Clifton C.
20. Capobianco K.	27. Graves R.
22. Bourque M.	41. Koivunen V.
49. Hryckowian J.	81. Kindel B.
10. Back O.	2. McGroarty R.
Line 4
11. Bastian N.	14. Imama B.
12. Faksa R.	46. Lizotte B.
15. Blackwell C.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
1. DeSmith C. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:18, 0 - 1, Dewar C. (G), Lizotte B. (A), Acciari N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:27, 1 - 1, Benn Ja. (G), Hintz R. (A), Robertson J. (A2)
05:56, 1 - 2, Novak T. (G), Letang K. (A), Crosby S. (A2)
08:26, Benn Ja. (2 min),
15:47, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:26, Koivunen V. (2 min),
18:11, 2 - 2, Heiskanen M. (G), Johnston W. (A), Rantanen M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Robertson J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Rust B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Duchene M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Crosby S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rantanen M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Letang K. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dallas might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Duchene M. (Upper-Body Injury) Erne A. (Lower-Body Injury) Harley T. (Lower-Body Injury) Lundkvist N. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Acciari N. (Upper-Body Injury) Brazeau J. (Upper-Body Injury) Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) Rakell R. (Hand Injury)

There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Koppanen J. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 54:49. (average 2.7:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.7:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 30.42%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
05.12.25	Dallas Stars - San Jose Sharks	4:1 ✺
03.12.25	New Jersey Devils - Dallas Stars	0:3 ✺
02.12.25	New York Rangers - Dallas Stars	3:2 OT ✺
30.11.25	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	6:1 ✺
28.11.25	Dallas Stars - Utah Mammoth	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
04.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:4 ✺
01.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:5 ✺
29.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:7 ✺
28.11.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:4 OT ✺
26.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
05.04.25	Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:5
11.11.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	1:7
22.03.24	Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:2
24.10.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	1:4
23.03.23	Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2
12.12.22	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	2:1
08.01.22	Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2

Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide