Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Dallas Stars		Washington Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.7	Watch
	2.25	4.28	2.67
	2.12	4.26	2.85	Watch
	2.29	4.42	2.72
	2.1	4.33	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.12)	4.26 (4.26)	2.76 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
43.2%

Draw
22.4%

Washington Capitals
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

22.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

21.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	55.6%	44.4%

Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Washington (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Washington (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Oettinger J. (G)	48. Thompson L. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	74. Carlson J. (A)
23. Lindell E. (A)	42. Fehervary M.
96. Rantanen M.	9. Leonard R.
91. Seguin T. (A)	24. McMichael C.
18. Steel S.	8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 2
46. Lyubushkin I.	3. Roy M.
. Harley T.	6. Chychrun J.
22. Bourque M.	43. Wilson T. (A)
53. Johnston W.	80. Dubois P.
21. Robertson J.	21. Protas A.
Line 3
28. Petrovic A.	57. Van Riemsdyk T.
6. Bichsel L.	47. Chisholm D.
15. Blackwell C.	28. Frank E.
49. Hryckowian J.	29. Lapierre H.
73. Erne A.	72. Beauvillier A.
Line 4
20. Capobianco K.	34. Sourdif J.
11. Bastian N.	26. Dowd N.
12. Faksa R.	22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
1. DeSmith C. (G)	79. Lindgren C. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Carbery S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
09:52, Steel S. (2 min),
13:55, Wilson T. (2 min),
16:41, Protas A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:20, Wilson T. (2 min),
00:43, 1 - 0, Seguin T. (G), Heiskanen M. (A), Rantanen M. (A2)
01:20, Steel S. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
05:29, Duhaime B. (2 min),
14:56, Bichsel L. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Dallas: Benn Ja. (Upper-Body Injury) Lundkvist N. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Washington: Sandin R. (Upper-Body Injury) Strome D. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Duchene M. (Upper-Body Injury) Hintz R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 62:56. (average 3.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 2.8:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Stars - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.61%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 33.19%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
26.10.25	Nashville Predators - Dallas Stars	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Dallas Stars - Carolina Hurricanes	3:2 ✺
23.10.25	Dallas Stars - Los Angeles Kings	2:3 OT ✺
21.10.25	Dallas Stars - Columbus Blue Jackets	1:5 ✺
18.10.25	St. Louis Blues - Dallas Stars	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Washington Capitals
NHL
25.10.25	Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators	1:7 ✺
24.10.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Washington Capitals	1:5 ✺
21.10.25	Washington Capitals - Seattle Kraken	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	3:4 ✺
17.10.25	Washington Capitals - Minnesota Wild	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.12.24	Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals	3:1
17.10.24	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	3:2
27.01.24	Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals	5:4 OT
07.12.23	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	4:5 penalties
15.12.22	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	1:2
27.10.22	Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals	2:0
20.03.22	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	2:3

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