Match Info

NHL

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Washington Capitals		Vancouver Canucks

	1	X	2
	2	4	3.2	Watch
	2.04	4.4	3.05
	2.18	3.98	2.88	Watch
	2.04	4.57	3.11
	2.13	4.42	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	4.27 ↑ (3.98)	3.01 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
45.9%

Draw
22.3%

Vancouver Canucks
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

23.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

23.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	15.8%	21.1%

Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Vancouver will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Washington (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Vancouver (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Vancouver (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
79. Lindgren C. (G)	35. Demko T. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)	90. Mancini V.
42. Fehervary M.	43. Hughes Q. (C)
72. Beauvillier A.	8. Garland C.
17. Strome D.	40. Pettersson E.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	91. Kane E.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	57. Myers T. (A)
38. Sandin R.	29. Pettersson M.
43. Wilson T. (A)	6. Boeser B. (A)
24. McMichael C.	72. Chytil F.
21. Protas A.	74. DeBrusk J.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	17. Hronek F.
6. Chychrun J.	25. Pettersson E. II.
9. Leonard R.	44. Sherwood K.
29. Lapierre H.	53. Blueger T.
15. Milano S.	18. O'Connor D.
Line 4
34. Sourdif J.	94. Karlsson L.
26. Dowd N.	63. Sasson M.
22. Duhaime B.	13. Bains A.
Substitutes
48. Thompson L. (G)	32. Lankinen K. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Foote A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
00:59, 0 - 1, Pettersson E. (G), Garland C. (A),
10:23, Chytil F. (2 min),
17:11, 0 - 2, Myers T. (G),
17:11, (2 min),
17:52, 0 - 3, Sherwood K. (G), Garland C. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
19:36, Strome D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:54, 0 - 4, Blueger T. (G), Kane E. (A), Myers T. (A2)
06:13, Duhaime B. (5 min),
06:13, Mancini V. (5 min),
09:56, Kane E. (2 min),
12:13, Bains A. (2 min),
13:42, 1 - 4, Leonard R. (G), Wilson T. (A), Strome D. (A2)
20:00, Dowd N. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:45, Hronek F. (2 min),
09:01, 2 - 4, Chychrun J. (G), Lapierre H. (A), Sandin R. (A2)
14:35, Sourdif J. (2 min),
17:46, 3 - 4, Carlson J. (G), Strome D. (A), Wilson T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.

Washington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vancouver's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Washington could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Lower-Body Injury) McIlrath D. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Vancouver: Forbort D. (Injury) Hoglander N. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 64:50. (average 3.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 2.9:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Vancouver Canucks - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
17.10.25	Washington Capitals - Minnesota Wild	5:1 ✺
14.10.25	Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 OT ✺
12.10.25	New York Rangers - Washington Capitals	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	2:4 ✺
08.10.25	Washington Capitals - Boston Bruins	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWL
- Vancouver Canucks
NHL
17.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Vancouver Canucks	2:3 penalties ✺
16.10.25	Dallas Stars - Vancouver Canucks	3:5 ✺
13.10.25	Vancouver Canucks - St. Louis Blues	2:5 ✺
11.10.25	Edmonton Oilers - Vancouver Canucks	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Vancouver Canucks - Calgary Flames	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
25.01.25	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	2:1
08.01.25	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	2:1 OT
16.03.24	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	1:2
11.02.24	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	2:3 OT
29.11.22	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	1:5
17.10.22	Washington Capitals - Vancouver Canucks	6:4
11.03.22	Vancouver Canucks - Washington Capitals	3:4 OT

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