Match Info

EUROPE: Spengler Cup (Davos) - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Eisstadion Davos (Davos)


	Davos		Kärpät

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.75	3.9
	1.61	4.7	4.35
	1.67	4.69	4.01	Watch
	1.55	4.6	4.2
	1.59	4.55	4.16	Watch
	1.61	4.7	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.53)	4.67 ↓ (4.7)	4.16 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Davos
57.8%

Draw
19.9%

Kärpät
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

20%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

19.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Davos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Davos than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Davos - Kärpät Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
51. Hollenstein L. (G)	33. Karhunen T. (G)
81. Lennstrom T.	2. Pokka V.
77. Gross N.	25. Paaso A.
19. Tambellini A.	11. Virta P.
93. Frehner Y.	87. Kovarcik M.
70. Corvi E.	77. Turunen T.
Line 2
60. Honka J.	47. Bjork M.
6. Dahlbeck K.	97. Masin D.
22. Lemieux B.	37. Melnick J.
15. Ryfors S.	27. Tardif B.
44. Stransky M.	91. Gardiner R.
Line 3
55. Andersson C.	39. Juusola V.
90. Jung S.	55. Ohtamaa A.
18. Zadina F.	80. Korpimaki M.
89. Palve O.	26. Rueschhoff A.
72. Kessler T.	8. Maenalanen S.
Line 4
57. Barandun D.	52. Koivisto M.
66. Nussbaumer V.	59. Hermonen J.
96. Egli C.	19. Yliniemi S.
10. Ambuhl A.	12. Anttila M.
Substitutes
29. Aeschlimann S. (G)	22. Nikupeteri O.
36. Knak S.	53. Westerholm N. (G)
Coaches
. Holden J.	. Mantymaa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:28, 1 - 0, Tambellini A. (G), Corvi E. (A), Lennstrom T. (A2)
16:45, Palve O. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 2)
02:19, 2 - 0, Knak S. (G), Ambuhl A. (A), Egli C. (A2)
04:56, 3 - 0, Palve O. (G), Kessler T. (A),
07:12, Koivisto M. (2 min),
07:53, 3 - 1, Hermonen J. (G), Maenalanen S. (A),
08:40, 4 - 1, Corvi E. (G), Tambellini A. (A), Lennstrom T. (A2)
08:40, Karhunen T. ↓, Westerholm N. ↑,
08:54, Egli C. (2 min),
17:09, Gross N. (5 min),
19:26, 4 - 2, Virta P. (G), Maenalanen S. (A), Melnick J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:09, 4 - 3, Virta P. (G), Kovarcik M. (A), Pokka V. (A2)

Preview

Davos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kärpät is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Davos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Davos is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Davos
Spengler Cup
27.12.24	Straubing Tigers - Davos	0:5 ✺
26.12.24	Davos - Canada	2:6 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
23.12.24	EHC Kloten - Davos	4:3 ✺
21.12.24	Biel - Davos	2:1 penalties ✺
20.12.24	Davos - Lausanne HC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL
- Kärpat Oulu
Spengler Cup
28.12.24	Pardubice - Kärpät	2:3 OT ✺
27.12.24	Kärpät - Fribourg-Gottéron	4:6 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
21.12.24	Kärpät - Vaasan Sport	4:0 ✺
20.12.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät	0:5 ✺
18.12.24	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL

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