Match Info

EUROPE: Spengler Cup (Davos)

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Eisstadion Davos (Davos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info


	Pardubice		Kärpät

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.1	3.1
	1.94	4.25	3.15
	1.81	4.46	3.5	Watch
	1.85	4.2	3.1
	1.89	4.15	3.13	Watch
	1.94	4.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)	4.24 ↑ (4.15)	3.19 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice
49%

Draw
21.9%

Kärpät
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

22%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

20.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Pardubice - Kärpät Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Vomacka T. (G)	33. Karhunen T. (G)
41. Ceresnak P.	47. Bjork M.
8. Musil D.	25. Paaso A.
61. Kaut M.	11. Virta P.
23. Sedlak L. (C)	87. Kovarcik M.
29. Kelemen M.	77. Turunen T.
Line 2
76. Zboril J.	39. Juusola V.
7. Dvorak T.	52. Koivisto M.
69. Radil L.	91. Gardiner R.
67. Paulovic M.	37. Melnick J.
90. Kousal R.	27. Tardif B.
Line 3
24. Hajek L.	55. Ohtamaa A. (C)
14. Vala O.	97. Masin D.
55. Vondracek T.	26. Rueschhoff A.
44. Poulicek P.	88. Korpimaki M.
89. Mandat J.	59. Hermonen J.
Line 4
77. Hradek M.	7. Peltonen J.
88. Houdek M.	22. Nikupeteri O.
97. Hercik D.	19. Yliniemi S.
28. Rakos D.	18. Antti-Roiko A.
86. Pochobradsky M.
Substitutes
22. Will R. (G)	53. Westerholm N. (G)
Coaches
. Badoucek V.	. Mantymaa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:26, Poulicek P. (2 min),
02:41, 0 - 1, Virta P. (G), Tardif B. (A), Melnick J. (A2)
07:03, 1 - 1, Kaut M. (G), Sedlak L. (A),
12:04, Virta P. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
09:07, Nikupeteri O. (2 min),
09:07, Dvorak T. (2 min),
11:35, Rakos D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:48, Korpimaki M. (2 min),
11:46, Vondracek T. (5 min),
14:35, 1 - 2, Turunen T. (G), Kovarcik M. (A), Koivisto M. (A2)
16:10, 2 - 2, Musil D. (G), Mandat J. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:24, 2 - 3, Gardiner R. (G), Tardif B. (A),

Preview

Kärpät is Qualified for Spengler Cup (Davos) (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Pardubice in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kärpät is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kärpät could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kärpät have a series of home games.

Pardubice will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pardubice - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.69%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Kärpät - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSOB Pojistovna Pardubice
Spengler Cup
26.12.24	Fribourg-Gottéron - Pardubice	2:3 penalties ✺
Czech Extraliga
22.12.24	Olomouc - Pardubice	0:2 ✺
20.12.24	Pardubice - Rytíři Kladno	4:3 OT ✺
08.12.24	Pardubice - Energie Karlovy Vary	5:1 ✺
06.12.24	Oceláři Třinec - Pardubice	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- Kärpat Oulu
Spengler Cup
27.12.24	Kärpät - Fribourg-Gottéron	4:6 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
21.12.24	Kärpät - Vaasan Sport	4:0 ✺
20.12.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät	0:5 ✺
18.12.24	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2 OT ✺
14.12.24	Kärpät - Lukko	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW

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