Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	AKM		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.61	3.13
	1.8	3.5	3.05
	2.03	4.05	3.04	Watch
	1.94	4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	3.79 ↓ (4.15)	3.07 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
47.1%

Draw
23.7%

Gornyak-UGMK
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.3%

22.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

26%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

AKM - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
17. Trishin A. (C)	26. Ishimnikov N.
28. Bulygin D.	8. Karpovich D.
55. Suvorov A.	91. Makeyev A. (C)
21. Kodola V.	13. Zaytsev O. (A)
15. Yermakov Y.	70. Alexeyev Y.
Line 2
86. Faizullin A.	62. Shchuchinov A.
25. Kramarenko Y.	72. Trofimov Y.
29. Kaburov G.	56. Ovchinnikov I.
47. Skutin Y.	14. Makhrin M. (A)
24. Bryukvin V.	71. Velikov M.
Line 3
3. Morozov Y.	94. Kaigorodov G.
52. Motygullin B.	90. Nekrasov N.
11. Rakhimullin D. (A)	96. Miller N.
38. Shipov I. (A)	27. Yepishchev I.
9. Sato Y.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 4
32. Babenko A.	54. Boikov D.
72. Shutyayev D.	28. Sitnikov V.
58. Mikhalyov V.	9. Makarov R.
98. Shvyryov I.	18. Sushchev V.
95. Seliverstov A.	32. Borisov S.
Substitutes
35. Shikin D. (G)	20. Sokolkin S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:03, 0 - 1, Makhrin M. (G), Velikov M. (A),
13:10, 1 - 1, Shvyryov I. (G), Kodola V. (A), Morozov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
02:49, 2 - 1, Shipov I. (G), Motygullin B. (A), Sato Y. (A2)
04:34, 3 - 1, Yermakov Y. (G), Bulygin D. (A), Suvorov A. (A2)
08:16, 4 - 1, Kramarenko Y. (G), Seliverstov A. (A), Mikhalyov V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Gornyak-UGMK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AKM holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for AKM in today's match, at odds of 1.86.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, AKM has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:30 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AKM against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:14 goals (averaging 1.6:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	AKM	19	10	1	5	3	58:43	27

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.34%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 28.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
14.10.26	AKM - Chelmet	4:2 ✺
12.10.26	AKM - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	AKM - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:0 ✺
05.10.26	Molot Perm - AKM	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
14.10.26	Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK	5:3 ✺
06.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - CSK VVS Samara	5:2 ✺
26.09.26	Khimik - Gornyak-UGMK	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	4:2
18.09.25	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1
11.01.25	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	1:4
10.11.24	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	1:7
31.01.24	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	1:0
22.09.23	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.23	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	2:3

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