Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Dinamo St. Petersburg		Tambov

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.15	3.51
	1.82	4.2	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.75)	4.18 ↓ (4.25)	3.53 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo St. Petersburg
51%

Draw
22.4%

Tambov
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

23.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-1%)

Dinamo St. Petersburg - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Kulikov D. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)
79. Tikhonov M.	26. Yershov I.
26. Salakhov M. (C)	24. Mamkin M.
31. Mikhailov V.	43. Ugolnikov A.
93. Zugan D.	7. Kamenev V.
8. Ogirchuk D.	51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)
Line 2
33. Smirnov N.	72. Vasin I. (A)
7. Kozlovsky Y. (A)	38. Yepishin M.
47. Grebenshchikov S.	92. Korinevsky M. (A)
9. Davydov D.	71. Koltygin P.
12. Chernov A.	63. Valitsky I.
Line 3
14. Nurgaliyev E.	95. Pesterev V.
76. Stepanov D.	6. Gromov N.
99. Boikov L.	86. Kopyltsov S.
42. Zhukenov D.	96. Pyanov E.
97. Ugolnikov I.	74. Zhabreyev A.
Line 4
11. Yezhov I.	65. Nikiforov D.
78. Nechayev A. (A)	84. Nizovkin M.
96. Zinchenko I.	87. Gorbunov Y.
	39. Ivanov M.
Substitutes
22. Velmakin Y. (G)	60. Golovlev V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:49, 0 - 1, Ugolnikov A. (G), Dubrovsky Y. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:22, 1 - 1, Ugolnikov I. (G), Zhukenov D. (A), Nurgaliyev E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:53, 1 - 2, Koltygin P. (G), Valitsky I. (A), Korinevsky M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 3.

Dinamo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tambov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dinamo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of home games.

Dinamo SP will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:31. (average 2.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo SP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 2.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	11	4	1	1	5	30:36	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.58%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Tambov - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.36%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
15.03.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Rostov	3:5 ✺
13.03.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Buran Voronezh	4:2 ✺
05.03.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	11:1 ✺
03.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- HC Tambov
VHL
15.03.26	SKA-VMF - Tambov	5:2 ✺
08.03.26	Tambov - Norilsk	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Tambov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
04.03.26	Tambov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:7 ✺
02.03.26	Tambov - Dynamo-Altay	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.09.25	Tambov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:4
28.12.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Tambov	1:2
25.11.24	Tambov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:3
17.12.23	Tambov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:4
22.10.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Tambov	1:2 OT
19.01.23	Tambov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:0
05.10.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Tambov	3:4 penalties

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