Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.79	3.2
	2.02	3.84	3.18	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.06)	3.74 ↓ (3.89)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
46.2%

Draw
24.6%

Izhstal
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

23.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Izhstal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dizel Penza - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	81. Glinsky M.
7. Spitsenko K.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
91. Andriyanov A.	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
95. Pochivalov D.	10. Astashevsky S.
71. Kolmykov M.	61. Nazarevich A.
Line 2
54. Filippov T.	98. Yanchevsky M.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	50. Zhdanov Y.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	28. Alekseev A.
47. Bobylyov V.	27. Pukelo K.
97. Borisenkov A.	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 3
83. Sukhov S.	11. Slepkov I.
72. Shvangiradze D.	23. Glebov G. (C)
41. Lukin V.	25. Shiksatdarov I.
11. Makhanovsky P. (A)	57. Yepishchev I.
10. Popov D.	70. Shilov A.
Line 4
34. Larichev V.	82. Murylev A.
69. Boluchevsky A.	21. Pugachyov A.
96. Baranov Y.	59. Dolgopyatov N.
	77. Khisamutdinov A.
Substitutes
78. Balashov M.	31. Lubsky M. (G)
31. Kudashev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:43, 0 - 1, Alekseev A. (G), Yanchevsky M. (A), Pukelo K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:20, 0 - 2, Dyuryagin D. (G), Astashevsky S. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:20, 1 - 2, Lukin V. (G),
19:10, 2 - 2, Bobylyov V. (G), Popov D. (A), Spitsenko K. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04', 2 - 3, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Izhstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of away games.

Dizel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 60:44. (average 3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 3.2:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.61%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
10.02.26	Ryazan - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
03.02.26	Chelny - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
30.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - Dizel Penza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
16.02.26	Ryazan - Izhstal	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	AKM - Izhstal	2:7 ✺
09.02.26	Izhstal - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
07.02.26	Izhstal - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:5 ✺
05.02.26	Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.10.25	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	4:2
12.12.24	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	4:2
02.12.24	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	2:1
17.01.24	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	4:2
04.10.23	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	0:4
30.01.23	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	0:3
24.09.22	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	3:1

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