Match Info

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Dizelist Penza		Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk

	1	X	2
	2.04	4.1	2.81
	1.9	3.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.77)	3.98 ↓ (4.3)	2.83 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizelist Penza
45.6%

Draw
22.6%

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

21.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

20%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dizelist Penza's form might have worsened.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dizelist Penza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
06:12, 1 - 0, Novikov N. (G),
08:14, 1 - 1, Martynets D. (G),
11:28, 2 - 1, Nazarov I. (G), Nazarov D. (A), Suvorov D. (A2)
14:02, 2 - 2, Ponomaryov T. (G), Pikov M. (A),
16:56, 3 - 2, Dolmatov A. (G), Nazarov I. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
03:52, 3 - 3, Pikov M. (G),
06:07, 4 - 3, Latypov G. (G),
19:04, 5 - 3, Latypov G. (G), Filippov T. (A), Chernov V. (A2)
19:50, 6 - 3, Kopytin P. (G), Nazarov I. (A),

Preview

4th leg. Dizelist (MHL) leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dizelist won 2.

Dizelist is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dizelist will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dizelist to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Dizelist won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 56-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Dizelist won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizelist Penza
RHL
28.03.24	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:1 ✺
25.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
14.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	5:4 ✺
13.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWLWW
- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
RHL
28.03.24	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:1 ✺
25.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
14.03.24	Lipetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:4 ✺
13.03.24	Lipetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
28.03.24	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:1
25.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	1:3
23.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	2:1 penalties
13.12.23	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:4
12.12.23	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:3
20.11.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	5:1
19.11.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	4:3

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