Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Dizelist Penza

	1	X	2
	1.43	5	5.25
	1.43	4.15	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	4.58 ↓ (5)	5.18 ↓ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
62.9%

Draw
19.7%

Dizelist Penza
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

18.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

16.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Dizelist Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:28, 1 - 0, Falkovsky A. (G), Ponomaryov T. (A), Pikov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
06:56, 1 - 1, Nazarov I. (G),
14:53, 1 - 2, Zvyozdochkin D. (G),
15:53, 1 - 3, Plis Y. (G), Kuzmin I. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. Olympia (MHL) leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk won 5.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dizelist is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 47-47.

Including matches at home between the teams Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
RHL
23.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
14.03.24	Lipetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:4 ✺
13.03.24	Lipetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Lipetsk	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Lipetsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLWW
- Dizelist Penza
RHL
23.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
14.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	5:4 ✺
13.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	3:2 penalties ✺
10.03.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:4 ✺
09.03.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
23.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	2:1 penalties
13.12.23	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:4
12.12.23	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:3
20.11.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	5:1
19.11.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	4:3
02.02.23	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:5
01.02.23	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:4

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