Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday


	Dizelist Penza		Yunison Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.07	4.4	1.62
	3.52	3.95	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.65)	4.18 ↑ (4.05)	1.65 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizelist Penza
23.7%

Draw
21.6%

Yunison Moscow
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

22.7%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

21.1%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dizelist Penza's form might have worsened.

Yunison Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yunison Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dizelist Penza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunison Moscow than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunison Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Dizelist Penza - Yunison Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Yunison Moscow will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
09:13, 0 - 1, Detkov I. (G), Kuznetsov D. (A), Shlykov V. (A2)
12:51, 0 - 2, Sychev V. (G), Govorkov M. (A),
13:32, 1 - 2, Dolmatov A. (G), Nazarov I. (A),
15:50, 1 - 3, Yarovoy S. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:16, 1 - 4, Shlykov V. (G), Busygin Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
13:29, 1 - 5, Shlykov V. (G),
15:45, 1 - 6, Govorkov R. (G), Yarovoy S. (A), Kuznetsov D. (A2)

Preview

3rd leg. Yunison Moscow (NMHL) leads series 2-0.

Recent matches Dizelist is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yunison in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dizelist could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Yunison have a series of home games.

In this match Yunison is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dizelist won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizelist Penza
RHL
07.04.24	Yunison Moscow - Dizelist Penza	5:1 ✺
06.04.24	Yunison Moscow - Dizelist Penza	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:3 ✺
28.03.24	Dizelist Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:1 ✺
25.03.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizelist Penza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LLWWW
- Yunison Moscow
RHL
07.04.24	Yunison Moscow - Dizelist Penza	5:1 ✺
06.04.24	Yunison Moscow - Dizelist Penza	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Yunison Moscow	0:4 ✺
26.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
25.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
07.04.24	Yunison Moscow - Dizelist Penza	5:1
06.04.24	Yunison Moscow - Dizelist Penza	2:1

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