Match Info

Date: 26 November 2021, Friday


	Dornbirn		EC KAC

	1	X	2
	3	4.25	1.95
	2.9	4.5	1.95	Watch
	2.7	4.1	2.05
	2.95	4.3	2.05
	2.74	4.44	2.08
	2.75	4.2	2.05
	2.95	4.15	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.23)	4.28 ↓ (4.28)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
32.5%

Draw
21.7%

EC KAC
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

21.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

18.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dornbirn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC KAC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dornbirn - EC KAC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

No spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Dornbirn has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches EC KAC is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

EC KAC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dornbirn have a series of guest games.

EC KAC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 42 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 26 matches and goals 102-139.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 50-71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
23.11.21	Dornbirn - Villacher	2:6 ✺
20.11.21	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	4:0 ✺
19.11.21	Orli Znojmo - Dornbirn	2:1 OT ✺
06.11.21	Graz 99ers - Dornbirn	4:3 ✺
05.11.21	EC KAC - Dornbirn	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- EC KAC
Champions League Ice Hockey
23.11.21	Leksand - EC KAC	8:1 ✺
Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.11.21	EC KAC - Orli Znojmo	2:0 ✺
19.11.21	Black Wings Linz - EC KAC	2:3 penalties ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
16.11.21	EC KAC - Leksand	4:0 ✺
Austrian Ice Hockey League
07.11.21	EC KAC - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.11.21	EC KAC - Dornbirn	4:3 OT
26.09.21	Dornbirn - EC KAC	2:1 penalties
31.01.21	EC KAC - Dornbirn	4:3
20.11.20	Dornbirn - EC KAC	3:1
09.11.20	EC KAC - Dornbirn	3:4 penalties
27.09.20	Dornbirn - EC KAC	1:3
10.01.20	Dornbirn - EC KAC	0:3

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