Match Info

Date: 25 February 2022, Friday


	Dornbirn		Villacher

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.75	1.75
	3.5	5.25	1.65
	3.5	4.75	1.66
	3.75	5	1.71
	3.49	5.16	1.71
	3.6	4.8	1.62
	4	4.9	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.07)	4.94 ↑ (4.63)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
25.9%

Draw
18.8%

Villacher
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

20.3%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

16.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dornbirn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Villacher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villacher's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Dornbirn - Villacher Predictions

Users Predictions: Villacher will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 0.

Dornbirn is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villach is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villach could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Villach have a series of guest games.

In this match Villach is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Villach to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 50 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 18 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 31 matches and goals 126-175.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 70-78.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
22.02.22	Dornbirn - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:4 ✺
19.02.22	Black Wings Linz - Dornbirn	Black Wings Linz awarded ✺
18.02.22	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	Vienna Capitals awarded ✺
15.02.22	Dornbirn - Red Bull Salzburg	Canceled ✺
05.02.22	Villacher - Dornbirn	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 L???L
- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
22.02.22	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Villacher	4:6 ✺
20.02.22	Villacher - Vienna Capitals	Canceled ✺
18.02.22	Bolzano - Villacher	Canceled ✺
16.02.22	Villacher - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:6 ✺
13.02.22	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 W??LW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.02.22	Villacher - Dornbirn	5:0
03.12.21	Villacher - Dornbirn	5:1
23.11.21	Dornbirn - Villacher	2:6
07.03.21	Dornbirn - Villacher	5:6 penalties
14.02.21	Villacher - Dornbirn	3:4
24.01.21	Dornbirn - Villacher	3:5
08.01.21	Villacher - Dornbirn	2:1

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