Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Dynamo Moscow		Kapitan Stupino

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.9	5.87
	1.25	6.45	7.9	Watch
	1.27	5.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.47)	6.05 ↑ (4.9)	7.06 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
71.8%

Draw
15.2%

Kapitan Stupino
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

19.1%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

17.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Moscow's performance.

Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kapitan Stupino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo Moscow won 2.

Recent matches Dynamo Moscow is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kapitan Stupino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kapitan Stupino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dynamo Moscow is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Dynamo Moscow won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 63-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Moscow won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dynamo Moscow
MHL
13.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	1:3 ✺
KHL
13.10.23	Avangard Omsk - Dynamo Moscow	3:0 ✺
11.10.23	Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow	3:2 penalties ✺
09.10.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 OT ✺
MHL
09.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo-Karelia	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW
- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
13.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	1:3 ✺
06.10.23	Kapitan Stupino - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:7 ✺
05.10.23	Kapitan Stupino - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:0 ✺
02.10.23	Kapitan Stupino - SKA-1946	3:2 ✺
25.09.23	Amurskie Tigry - Kapitan Stupino	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
13.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	1:3
29.01.23	Kapitan Stupino - Dynamo Moscow	3:5
17.01.23	Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	0:1
17.01.22	Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	2:4
16.01.22	Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	4:2
09.10.21	Kapitan Stupino - Dynamo Moscow	2:7
08.10.21	Kapitan Stupino - Dynamo Moscow	1:9

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