Match Info

KHL

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Barys Arena (Astana)


	Barys Astana		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.88	4.4	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4.7	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.52)	4.55 ↑ (4.15)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
20.5%

Draw
20.9%

Dynamo Moscow
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

22.9%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

18.9%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barys: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Dynamo M (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dynamo M (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
43. Shutov A. (G)	99. Motorygin M. (G)
44. Walsh R.	92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
2. Massie J. (A)	41. Gotovets K.
88. Vecchione M.	98. Mamin M.
11. Morelli M.	91. Weal J.
27. Galimov E.	97. Gusev N.
Line 2
24. Breus D.	33. Claesson F.
3. McCoshen I.	45. Pylenkov D.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.	90. Sikura D.
17. Omirbekov A.	18. Paquette C. (A)
84. Savitsky K. (C)	10. Comtois M.
Line 3
71. Daniyar Sam.	93. Sergeyev A.
87. Beketayev A. (A)	44. Adamchuk K.
34. Kolesnikov V.	57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
32. Volkov V.	34. Ilyenko A. (A)
96. Asetov A.	9. Slepyshev A.
Line 4
31. Korolyov A.	75. Patalakha M.
18. Muratov B.	14. Brosseau D.
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.	12. Chernov A.
70. Simonov S.	7. Dzhioshvili M.
Substitutes
35. Shestakov A. (G)	25. Prokhorov D.
	94. Selivanov V. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Kudashov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:40, 0 - 1, Comtois M. (G), Claesson F. (A), Mamin M. (A2)
10:09, (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:09, Shvets-Rogovoy A. (2 min),
04:29, 1 - 1, Shaikhmeddenov A. (G), Omirbekov A. (A), Savitsky K. (A2)
12:07, Mamin M. (2 min),
17:00, Comtois M. (2 min),
17:00, Sikura D. (2 min),
17:24, 2 - 1, Kolesnikov V. (G), Walsh R. (A), Vecchione M. (A2)
18:59, Morelli M. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
07:00, 2 - 2, Gusev N. (G), Brosseau D. (A),
08:41, Mamin M. (2 min),
09:45, Gotovets K. (2 min),
10:38, 3 - 2, Vecchione M. (G), Galimov E. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
13:12, Shaikhmeddenov A. (2 min),
13:12, Sikura D. (2 min),
16:00, 4 - 2, Omirbekov A. (G), Vecchione M. (A),
18:33, 5 - 2, Vecchione M. (G), Breus D. (A), Shutov A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 2.

Barys is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dynamo M is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Barys has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dynamo M is a strong favorite.

We predict that Barys will win today's game, with odds of 4.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 44:55. (average 2.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 2.2:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 4.52 are the expected chance of winning is 21.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 56%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
13.09.25	Barys Astana - Dinamo Minsk	1:3 ✺
09.09.25	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	4:3 penalties ✺
07.09.25	Barys Astana - Traktor Chelyabinsk	4:3 OT ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
02.09.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 ✺
01.09.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LWWWW
- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
13.09.25	Avangard Omsk - Dynamo Moscow	7:4 ✺
11.09.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 penalties ✺
09.09.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	2:3 penalties ✺
06.09.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	6:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
31.08.25	Dynamo Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.12.24	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	0:2
24.09.24	Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow	1:3
11.10.23	Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow	3:2 penalties
11.09.23	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	4:3 OT
03.02.23	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	3:2
29.01.23	Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.02.22	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	3:4 penalties

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