The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Biel 35.5%
Draw 21.9%
EV Zug 42.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.4%
22.4%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
23.8%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Biel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biel than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Biel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for EV Zug, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Biel - EV Zug Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Sateri H. (G)
31. Croce M. (G)
9. Soderstrom V.
16. Diaz R. (A)
18. Stampfli Y.
66. Sklenicka D.
25. Rajala T. (A)
90. Tatar T.
24. Andersson L. (C)
43. Kovar J. (C)
61. Zwerger D.
40. Wingerli A.
Line 2
86. Trutmann D. (A)
3. Moverare J.
52. Aeschbach C.
14. Stadler L.
53. Skinner J.
73. Kunzle M.
19. Neuenschwander J.
9. Rohrer V.
23. Sever M.
81. Kubalik D.
Line 3
71. Burren Y.
42. Geisser T.
49. Zryd M.
37. Riva E.
16. Hofer F.
11. Petrovic N.
73. Cajka P.
88. Senteler S. (A)
29. Sylvegard M.
15. Hofmann G.
Line 4
98. Christen L.
27. Guerra S.
15. Sablatnig Y.
8. Gredig R.
89. Vermin J.
61. Leuenberger S.
17. Bartschi J.
86. Antenen R. N.
Substitutes
60. Ostlund V. (G)
30. Genoni L. (G)
43. Villard J.
95. Lindemann C. S.
Coaches
. Dube C.
. Marjamaki L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
06:12, Rohrer V. (2 min),
10:18, Burren Y. (2 min),
16:27, 1 - 0, Zwerger D. (G), Rajala T. (A), Andersson L. (A2)
19:09, 2 - 0, Andersson L. (G), Rajala T. (A),
19:28, Moverare J. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:45, Petrovic N. (2 min),
11:20, Guerra S. (2 min),
12:18, 3 - 0, Andersson L. (G), Hofer F. (A),
15:35, Kovar J. (2 min),
15:51, 4 - 0, Hofer F. (G), Skinner J. (A), Andersson L. (A2)
17:16, Geisser T. (2 min),
18:00, Hofer F. (2 min),
18:00, Senteler S. (5 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:25, 5 - 0, Hofer F. (G), Skinner J. (A), Andersson L. (A2)
12:04, Sever M. (2 min),
15:51, Trutmann D. (2 min),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th and 9th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 2.
In recent outings, Biel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
EV Zug shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Biel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, EV Zug has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Biel has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:49 (averaging 2.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Biel against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 28:16 goals (averaging 2.8:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Zug
11
7
0
1
3
38:24
22
12
Biel
16
6
0
2
8
51:55
20
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Zug: 5.15% Biel: 2.63%
Last Results with these Odds
Biel - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
EV Zug - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.19%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Sateri H. (G) 
Croce M. (G) 
Soderstrom V. 
Sklenicka D. 
Tatar T. 
Zwerger D. 
Skinner J. 
Sever M. 
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