Match Info

National League - Round 48

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Tissot Arena (Biel/Bienne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Biel		EV Zug

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.3	2.9	Watch
	2.03	4.15	3
	1.96	4.18	3.11
	2.03	4.42	2.91	Watch
	1.85	4	2.9
	1.98	4.25	3.28	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.34)	4.17 ↑ (4.13)	3.01 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Biel
47.2%

Draw
22.1%

EV Zug
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

22.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

23.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biel's performance.

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EV Zug might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biel than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EV Zug could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Biel - EV Zug Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
35. Sateri H. (G)	30. Genoni L. (G)
33. Hultstrom L.	32. Bengtsson L.
49. Zryd M.	42. Geisser T.
25. Rajala T.	81. Kubalik D.
24. Andersson L.	43. Kovar J. (C)
16. Hofer F.	15. Hofmann G.
Line 2
71. Burren Y.	37. Riva E.
77. Grossmann R.	66. Sklenicka D.
29. Sylvegard M.	73. Kunzle M.
92. Haas G. (C)	88. Senteler S.
23. Sever M.	90. Tatar T.
Line 3
18. Stampfli Y.	18. Schlumpf D.
14. Blessing N.	14. Stadler L.
88. Huuhtanen N.	95. Lindemann C. S.
73. Cajka P.	61. Leuenberger S.
19. Neuenschwander J.	96. Vozenilek D.
Line 4
94. Dionicio R.	16. Diaz R.
27. Sablatnig Y.	22. Eggenberger N.
98. Christen L.	77. Wey L.
17. Bartschi J.	86. Antenen R. N.
Substitutes
28. Braillard L.	1. Wolf T. (G)
74. Janett L. (G)
Coaches
. Dube C.	. Groulx B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:24, 1 - 0, Cajka P. (G), Huuhtanen N. (A), Hultstrom L. (A2)
11:54, Zryd M. (2 min),
15:14, Tatar T. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:32, 1 - 1, Bengtsson L. (G), Geisser T. (A), Tatar T. (A2)
09:15, Blessing N. (2 min),
14:08, Lindemann C. S. (2 min),
16:19, Sever M. (2 min),
19:47, Hultstrom L. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:44, 2 - 1, Neuenschwander J. (G),
02:38, Burren Y. (2 min),
04:18, 2 - 2, Eggenberger N. (G), Senteler S. (A),
13:57, 2 - 3, Kunzle M. (G), Tatar T. (A),
16:29, Hofmann G. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Biel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Biel will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Biel won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:49. (average 2.7:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Biel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 2.9:1.4).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zug: 7.51% Biel: 3.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10
13	Biel	9	3	0	1	5	29:32	10

Last Results with these Odds

Biel - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Biel
Swiss National League Hockey
24.02.26	Lugano - Biel	3:4 penalties ✺
01.02.26	EHC Kloten - Biel	3:2 OT ✺
30.01.26	Biel - ZSC Lions	1:5 ✺
27.01.26	Biel - Ajoie	6:3 ✺
24.01.26	Biel - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWW
- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
24.02.26	EV Zug - Fribourg-Gottéron	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	2:4 ✺
30.01.26	EV Zug - Lausanne HC	1:4 ✺
27.01.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	EV Zug - SCL Tigers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
19.12.25	EV Zug - Biel	4:0
19.10.25	EV Zug - Biel	4:3
30.09.25	Biel - EV Zug	2:0
21.02.25	Biel - EV Zug	6:2
12.01.25	EV Zug - Biel	4:1
22.11.24	Biel - EV Zug	1:2 OT
11.10.24	EV Zug - Biel	1:3

Upcoming Matches