The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrie Colts 38.6%
Draw 22.1%
Owen Sound Attack 39.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.4%
21.2%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
21.9%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrie Colts's form might have worsened.
Owen Sound Attack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Owen Sound Attack's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrie Colts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Owen Sound Attack, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barrie Colts - Owen Sound Attack Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
31. Leenders R. (G)
2. Desiderio N.
4. Arnett E.
37. Edgar E. (A)
17. Atkinson D.
16. Handsor J.
12. Banks J.
24. Lombardi B.
8. Bell C.
85. Lowe C. (A)
90. Bernat L.
22. Matheson L.
5. Brown J. (A)
74. McNally D.
16. Crawford J. (A)
8. Mogull S.
10. Delisle M.
39. Olek R.
43. Fransen M.
88. Passmore E. (C)
9. Kindree E.
6. Ruggere M.
88. Lisi A.
11. Schneid W.
44. Manzo A.
20. Shargorodsky P.
21. Mbuyi P. (C)
34. Shirochenkov M.
23. Merrick C.
19. Tang M.
34. Nansi H. (A)
81. Testa L.
7. Prud'homme L.
89. Tsherna D.
77. Royston W.
21. Yurkiw R.
27. Voortman J.
15. Zilinski M.
Substitutes
33. Bach H. (G)
29. Corovic M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:46, 0 - 1, Bernat L. (G), Nansi H. (A),
09:55, 0 - 2, Fransen M. (G), Voortman J. (A), Mbuyi P. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:58, 1 - 2, Schneid W. (G), Edgar E. (A), Lowe C. (A2)
11:17, 2 - 2, Schneid W. (G), Lowe C. (A), Ruggere M. (A2)
15:14, 3 - 2, Schneid W. (G), Matheson L. (A), Handsor J. (A2)
18:12, 3 - 3, Crawford J. (G), Nansi H. (A), Bernat L. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:55, 4 - 3, Edgar E. (G),
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 10th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 3.
Barrie is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Owen has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Barrie could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barrie has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:66 (averaging 3.2:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barrie against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 34:33 goals (averaging 3.1:3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Owen Sound Attack - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.33%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Nikonovich M. (G) 
Leenders R. (G) 
Desiderio N. 
Bernat L. 
Shirochenkov M. 
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