The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niagara IceDogs 35.1%
Draw 21.1%
Erie Otters 43.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.7%
20.9%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
21.9%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niagara IceDogs's form might have worsened.
Erie Otters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erie Otters's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niagara IceDogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erie Otters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
88. Egorov D. (G)
34. Banas J.
92. Agrette M.
72. Barnes B. (A)
73. Ambrosio L.
7. Cheynowski C.
21. Arkko L.
25. Dell'Elce S.
14. Cooper T.
17. Edgar R. (A)
25. Dec M. (A)
92. Galiyanov I.
13. Edwards K.
73. Gallacher L.
15. Gesink A.
9. Hage A.
22. Gladman A.
64. Hull C.
81. Headrick E.
61. Langdon J.
2. Henry T.
22. Lappan M.
34. Kamzik K.
11. Lewandowski C.
27. Kennedy C.
12. McFadden W.
89. Lombardi U.
16. Merrill F.
4. McArthur B.
5. Munnings B.
29. Michalski G.
26. Naish Z.
80. Murray J.
43. Smith R. (A)
6. Saari J. (A)
91. Stejskal S.
96. Schuster P.
10. Trevino T. (C)
Substitutes
35. Haffner C. (G)
30. Karbowski L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:16, 0 - 1, Dec M. (G), Agrette M. (A),
04:56, 1 - 1, Banas J. (G), Langdon J. (A), Dell'Elce S. (A2)
11:55, 2 - 1, Smith R. (G), Cheynowski C. (A),
13:52, 2 - 2, Kamzik K. (G), Cooper T. (A), Kennedy C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:43, 3 - 2, Edgar R. (G), Smith R. (A), Cheynowski C. (A2)
16:59, 3 - 3, McArthur B. (G), Agrette M. (A), Dec M. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:30, 4 - 3, Banas J. (G),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Niagara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Erie has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Niagara in today's match, at odds of 2.13.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Niagara has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:77 (averaging 3.6:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Niagara against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:43 goals (averaging 3.9:4.8 per game).
Watch
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Yermolenko V. (G) 
Egorov D. (G) 
Banas J. 
Arkko L. 
Stejskal S. 
Schuster P. 
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