Match Info

Date: 12 October 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Ermak Angarsk		Dynamo MO

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Ermak Angarsk
24%

Draw
20.7%

Dynamo MO
55.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

20.9%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

15.7%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Dynamo MO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo MO than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo MO could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dynamo MO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Dynamo MO is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ermak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
10.10.20	Ermak Angarsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:5 ✺
21.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Rostov	2:4 ✺
19.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh	4:1 ✺
17.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	4:2 ✺
11.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Dynamo MO
VHL
06.10.20	Dynamo MO - Bars Kazan	3:2 OT ✺
04.10.20	Dynamo MO - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
01.10.20	Dynamo MO - Lada Togliatti	6:5 penalties ✺
29.09.20	Dynamo MO - CSK VVS Samara	2:0 ✺
23.09.20	Toros Neftekamsk - Dynamo MO	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWL

VHL
08.12.19	Dynamo MO - Ermak Angarsk	5:4 OT

Ermak Angarsk - Dynamo MO