Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 12 January 2023, Thursday


	Ermak Angarsk		Tambov

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.85	1.78
	3.64	4.06	1.82
	3.58	4.3	1.78	Watch
	3.45	3.95	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.75)	4.04 ↓ (4.14)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
26.2%

Draw
22.7%

Tambov
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

21.9%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

21.5%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Ermak Angarsk - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 2.

Ermak is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tambov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tambov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ermak have a series of guest games.

Tambov will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tambov to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ermak won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
10.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
28.12.22	Molot Perm - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
26.12.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 ✺
24.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:3 ✺
22.12.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLL
- HC Tambov
VHL
10.01.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Tambov	3:4 ✺
07.01.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Tambov	5:2 ✺
05.01.23	Omskie Krylia - Tambov	3:4 ✺
25.12.22	Tambov - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
23.12.22	Tambov - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.10.22	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	6:3
12.12.21	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	1:2
08.11.21	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	0:2
07.02.21	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	6:0
17.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	4:2
04.12.19	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	4:1
29.11.18	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	1:0

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