Match Info

NMHL

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Fakel Salekhard		Metallurg Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.27	4.15	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 (2.27)	4.15 (4.15)	2.35 (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Salekhard
39.8%

Draw
21.8%

Metallurg Cherepovets
38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

20%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fakel Salekhard have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Metallurg Cherepovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Salekhard than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:22, 0 - 1, Smirnov A. (G), Titov N. (A),
09:26, 0 - 2, Shein M. (G), Provorov A. (A), Titov N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 6)
01:28, 0 - 3, Savin S. (G), Smirnov A. (A), Kopyltsov I. (A2)
03:01, 0 - 4, Semenov N. (G), Kanev V. (A), Titov N. (A2)
03:44, 0 - 5, Speshinsky S. (G), Kiselev A. (A), Savin S. (A2)
06:12, 0 - 6, Provorov A. (G), Titov N. (A),
10:32, 0 - 7, Kopiltsov I. (G), Titov N. (A),
13:48, 0 - 8, Semenov N. (G), Krivobryukhov Y. (A), Kanev V. (A2)
17:58, 1 - 8, Mamayev E. (G), Pichugin M. (A), Chaplygin M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:29, 2 - 8, Ugryumov P. (G), Chaplygin M. (A),
15:45, 3 - 8, Ugryumov P. (G), Chaplygin M. (A),
16', 4 - 8, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, M Cherepovets has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:28. (average 5:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 4.2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Salekhard
RHL
20.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets	1:2 OT ✺
17.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk	3:2 OT ✺
16.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk	3:4 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW
- Metallurg Cherepovets
RHL
20.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets	1:2 OT ✺
10.12.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Bryansk	0:3 ✺
09.12.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Bryansk	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Kaluga	1:10 ✺
04.12.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Kaluga	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
20.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets	1:2 OT
05.02.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Fakel Salekhard	2:4
01.12.24	Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:4
30.11.24	Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:3
13.03.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Fakel Salekhard	2:7
10.03.24	Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets	9:2
09.03.24	Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:1

Fakel Salekhard - Metallurg Cherepovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide