Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Fassa		Gherdëina

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.33	2.3
	2.12	4.4	2.4
	2.06	4.09	2.3
	2.2	4.33	2.3
	2.17	4.2	2.53
	2	4.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)	4.28 ↑ (4.1)	2.43 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fassa
42.1%

Draw
21%

Gherdëina
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

21.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

20.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fassa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Fassa - Gherdëina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fassa won 4.

Recent matches Fassa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gherdëina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gherdëina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Fassa to win the game is with odds 2.16.

Last 34 head-to-head matches Fassa won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 21 matches and goals 93-108.

Including matches at home between the teams Fassa won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 48-44.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
12.10.23	Fassa - Steel Wings Linz	5:1 ✺
07.10.23	Zell am See - Fassa	5:6 penalties ✺
05.10.23	Fassa - Acroni Jesenice	1:8 ✺
01.10.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Fassa	5:1 ✺
28.09.23	Fassa - KAC II	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLLW
- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
12.10.23	Gherdëina - Cortina	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5 ✺
05.10.23	KAC II - Gherdëina	6:1 ✺
30.09.23	Gherdëina - Vipiteno	4:3 OT ✺
27.09.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
23.02.23	Gherdëina - Fassa	1:2 OT
19.01.23	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:1
04.12.22	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:1
01.10.22	Gherdëina - Fassa	5:2
28.12.21	Fassa - Gherdëina	4:0
23.10.21	Gherdëina - Fassa	7:5
21.11.20	Gherdëina - Fassa	2:5

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