The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genève-Servette 40.7%
Draw 22%
EV Zug 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
21.9%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
23.1%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genève-Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genève-Servette's form might have worsened.
EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting EV Zug's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genève-Servette than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for EV Zug, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Genève Servette - EV Zug Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. EV Zug (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Charlin S. (G)
30. Genoni L. (G)
46. Saarijarvi V.
16. Diaz R.
90. Le Coultre S.
42. Geisser T.
94. Bozon T.
90. Tatar T.
19. Jooris J.
43. Kovar J.
16. Vesey J.
81. Kubalik D.
Line 2
44. Rutta J.
32. Bengtsson L.
18. Henauer M.
3. Moverare J.
33. Kneubuehler J.
11. Petrovic N.
23. Verboon M.
9. Rohrer V.
85. Miranda M.
15. Hofmann G.
Line 3
77. Sutter D.
65. Schneller E.
25. Karrer R.
27. Guerra S.
80. Ignatavicius S.
8. Gredig R.
70. Achermann O.
40. Wingerli A.
93. Lemyre T.
86. Antenen R. N.
Line 4
91. Akeson J.
14. Stadler L.
98. Achermann R.
37. Riva E.
88. Dandois A.
77. Wey L.
61. Leuenberger S.
95. Lindemann C. S.
Substitutes
29. Mayer R. (G)
31. Croce M. (G)
Coaches
. Hallam S.
. Marjamaki L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
07:02, Sutter D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:57, Vesey J. (2 min),
08:08, Guerra S. (2 min),
10:08, 1 - 0, Kneubuehler J. (G), Karrer R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:42, Geisser T. (2 min),
05:47, Moverare J. (2 min),
12:24, 1 - 1, Hofmann G. (G), Moverare J. (A),
15:29, 2 - 1, Bozon T. (G), Saarijarvi V. (A),
16:12, Henauer M. (2 min),
19:26, Tatar T. (2 min),
19:55, Kneubuehler J. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genève-Servette won 3.
Genève-Servette is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by EV Zug have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Genève-Servette may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, EV Zug has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Genève-Servette has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:53 (averaging 2.2:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Genève-Servette against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:21 goals (averaging 2.4:1.9 per game).
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Servette: 8.7% Zug: 8.49%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Servette
11
5
2
2
2
33:29
21
12
Zug
6
3
0
1
2
22:14
10
Last Results with these Odds
Genève-Servette - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.14%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
EV Zug - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.93%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.